3digits-da1e65.launchpa….near justhoot v1

3digits-da1e65.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2741 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 2; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Received tokens from the dev: root.near.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -59.03 NEAR · insiders' net result: -21.91 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 29% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-10 12:34:49 UTC · block 219377831 · history: launch only
Transaction6mtFmCbQsbLUg…Bwk1P
Creatornooneknowme.near explorer
Pool3digits-da1e65.launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy9.75 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:42 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-07 18:43 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-07 18:43 UTC
Price now1.36x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.14x the peak
Outside buyers in profit94 of 310 · 30.3%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev1.4% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 13 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)——0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)305383110241
Buyers spent723.16 NEAR1,357.24 NEAR1,764.84 NEAR2,427.35 NEAR8,817.83 NEAR
Buyers net result+423.21 NEAR+943.54 NEAR+1,574.56 NEAR+1,530.34 NEAR-59.03 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)12222
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)——0%0%0%
Insiders' net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR+0.26 NEAR+0.80 NEAR-21.91 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer2.73x3.92x5.12x5.21x9.60x
Holders25457291130
Top 10 holders' share91.0%73.9%68.0%52.0%62.3%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — 1% · 1 of 1 hold 1.1% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 8.9% · 11 of 13 hold 8.9% · 11 of 13 hold 1.4% · 5 of 13 hold
Other early buyers 29.8% · 16 of 17 hold 26.6% · 14 of 17 hold 25.0% · 12 of 17 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)38.7% · 30 wallets35.5% · 30 wallets26.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)61.3%63.5%72.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)91.0%73.9%52.0%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder91.0% · 1 merged73.9% · 1 merged52.0% · 1 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 36.9 min after buying · transaction +2.30 NEAR
pair bought within 12.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.0 s of hooting.near · 97 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 46.4 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2 hooting.near 13 s · transaction 6.00 NEAR 86 s after buying · transaction +2.53 NEAR
pair bought within 9.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 97 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 42 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 51.3 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence
3 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 17 s · transaction 1.50 NEAR 112 s after buying · transaction +4.25 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 12.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 47.8 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.4 s of hooting.near · 42 launches together · their buy · evidence
4 tiadoyinnn.near 26 s · transaction 12.10 NEAR 19.7 min after buying · transaction +15.92 NEAR none found
5 s3m0n.tg 29 s · transaction 22.00 NEAR 2.3 min after buying · transaction +6.56 NEAR
pair bought within 35.1 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 25.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
6 tech_maestro.us….near 30 s · transaction 28.71 NEAR 2.1 min after buying · transaction +21.56 NEAR none found
7 nearly-bull.near 41 s · transaction 50.00 NEAR 8.1 min after buying · transaction +101.12 NEAR none found
8 hmmmm.user.intear.near 51 s · transaction 70.70 NEAR 35.4 min after buying · transaction +167.02 NEAR
pair bought within 13.8 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 46.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 alola.near 64 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction +1.49 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 47.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 51.3 s of hooting.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.8 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10 neartardio.near 69 s · transaction 100.00 NEAR not sold +253.93 NEAR none found
11 kuill.near 76 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 15.0 min after buying · transaction +28.59 NEAR
pair bought within 12.0 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
12 hootfoundation.near 87 s · transaction 150.00 NEAR not sold +274.68 NEAR none found
13 vitalzebra8625.near 92 s · transaction 49.00 NEAR not sold +61.62 NEAR none found
14 hurikh4n.near 111 s · transaction 62.81 NEAR not sold +74.75 NEAR none found
15 shortgirl.user.….near 115 s · transaction 11.88 NEAR 34.4 min after buying · transaction +8.22 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 7.1 s of fiery_spire1.us….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 50.4 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 kulesh_off.user….near 2.0 min · transaction 11.38 NEAR 7.0 min after buying · transaction +3.68 NEAR
pair bought within 55.3 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.3 s of 5330416d2d20245…f7cb5 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.3 s of 177d0dba946d26e….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17 5330416d2d20245…f7cb5 2.0 min · transaction 29.70 NEAR 26 s after buying · transaction +13.10 NEAR
pair bought within 2.3 s of kulesh_off.user….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 fiery_spire1.us….near 2.0 min · transaction 3.17 NEAR 34.5 min after buying · transaction +1.85 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
pair bought within 57.6 s of alola.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.1 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 volat.near 2.0 min · transaction 20.00 NEAR 12.4 min after buying · transaction +13.32 NEAR
pair bought within 58.8 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
20 177d0dba946d26e….near 2.2 min · transaction 45.00 NEAR 12.5 min after buying · transaction +6.72 NEAR
pair bought within 11.3 s of kulesh_off.user….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of nooneknowme.near

None known.