abc.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near justhoot v2

abc.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (rektdegen.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 31 % (708 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -77.13 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 27% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-22 08:51:09 UTC · block 221069675 · history: launch only
Transaction	CWgeGM2Mv2xgy…4An99
Creator	lightquery8096.near explorer
Pool	abc.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:42 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-30 16:58 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-30 16:58 UTC
Price now	0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.27x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	39 of 110 · 35.5%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 21 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	13	32	94	106	109
Buyers spent	88.43 NEAR	415.93 NEAR	1,550.49 NEAR	2,205.64 NEAR	2,216.52 NEAR
Buyers net result	+5.50 NEAR	+154.64 NEAR	+548.88 NEAR	-75.75 NEAR	-77.13 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.15x	1.98x	3.64x	3.64x	3.64x
Holders	11	25	68	15	10
Top 10 holders' share	98.8%	82.2%	50.1%	91.6%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	6.0% · 10 of 12 hold	14% · 17 of 21 hold	0.1% · 1 of 21 hold
Other early buyers	1.7% · 1 of 1 hold	13.2% · 9 of 9 hold	2.5% · 4 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	7.7% · 13 wallets	27.2% · 30 wallets	2.6% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	92.3%	72.8%	97.4%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	98.8%	82.2%	91.6%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 3 merged	86.6% · 4 merged	91.6% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	5 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	61 s after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	44.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.40 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
3	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	45.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.25 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
4	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	7.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.28 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
5	cockis.near	6 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.02 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches pair bought within 1.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
6	onlyrekt.near	7 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	3.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.15 NEAR	pair bought within 2.5 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 118 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.9 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 90 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
7	phbo.near	39 s · transaction	11.00 NEAR	16.2 min after buying · transaction	+3.20 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches pair bought within 33.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 50 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 50 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 32.4 s of cockis.near · 48 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
8	km686.tg	50 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	29.9 min after buying · transaction	+36.72 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches pair bought within 5.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.6 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 26.2 s of hungcoiiii1.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
9	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	55 s · transaction	37.28 NEAR	29.9 min after buying · transaction	+8.39 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 5.5 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 49.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 49.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	alola.near	61 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	15.8 min after buying · transaction	+1.19 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 55.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
11	hungcoiiii1.near	76 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	29.6 min after buying · transaction	+21.02 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 15.6 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 26.2 s of km686.tg · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of softdove3960.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	softdove3960.near	97 s · transaction	26.02 NEAR	30.1 min after buying · transaction	+16.38 NEAR	pair bought within 36.9 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of hungcoiiii1.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
13	ralfrudolf.near	3.7 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	42.4 min after buying · transaction	+1.24 NEAR	none found
14	5d8f34a3434e2ec…d9c57	10.0 min · transaction	10.12 NEAR	8.5 min after buying · transaction	+8.16 NEAR	pair bought within 28.0 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804	10.5 min · transaction	80.96 NEAR	11.8 min after buying · transaction	+54.37 NEAR	pair bought within 28.0 s of 5d8f34a3434e2ec…d9c57 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45	11.8 min · transaction	2.03 NEAR	15.1 min after buying · transaction	+3.11 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches pair bought within 7.1 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.2 s of 51206134269a0d4….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	96952333f9d9862…d9f77	11.9 min · transaction	7.09 NEAR	10.8 min after buying · transaction	+5.48 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 7.1 s of 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.1 s of darknes.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	darknes.near	12.2 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	2.5 min after buying · transaction	+4.83 NEAR	pair bought within 20.1 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19	51206134269a0d4….near	12.3 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	10.9 min after buying · transaction	+5.49 NEAR	pair bought within 34.2 s of 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 58.6 s of 5807dd1bbba54c9….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
20	4fff4175970134e…82fa3	12.5 min · transaction	40.00 NEAR	not sold	-13.20 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of lightquery8096.near

None known.