axo-4a3caa.launchpad.ju….near justhoot v1

axo-4a3caa.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 10 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+10
Received 1.00 NEAR 10353.3 h before the launch from ex3dex.tg, whose earlier launch mallow.nearlytrade.near (made by zephiron.near, linked to him) ended as a rug.
Evidence: transaction 6Tx1tKtueDGCr9gjJ…1Di6r, launch mallow.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (runix.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2472 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Undefined. The insiders sold tokens into the pool, but their sold share does not exist for this launch (they acquired nothing through it), so we cannot say how much of their holding they sold: the outside buyers lost money, but "rug" or "no rug" is not stated. It is not counted in any rate.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: genesis-vault.near (dev).
Outside buyers' net result: -12.78 NEAR · insiders' net result: +57.92 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 76% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-05 00:06:47 UTC · block 218568414 · history: launch only
Transaction	Ea5AGqS8brMp5…FGdzs
Creator	genesis-vault.near explorer
Pool	axo-4a3caa.launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	49.04 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:42 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-05 15:45 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	98 s	98 s	98 s	98 s	98 s
Buyers (other than the insiders)	12	14	14	14	14
Buyers spent	113.50 NEAR	167.95 NEAR	167.95 NEAR	167.95 NEAR	167.95 NEAR
Buyers net result	-10.46 NEAR	-4.15 NEAR	-4.15 NEAR	-12.32 NEAR	-12.78 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	+57.92 NEAR	+57.92 NEAR	+57.92 NEAR	+57.92 NEAR	+57.92 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.16x	1.16x	1.16x	1.16x	1.16x
Holders	4	5	5	2	0
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	1.4% · 3 of 11 hold	0.1% · 2 of 11 hold	0.1% · 1 of 11 hold
Other early buyers	2.3% · 1 of 1 hold	6.9% · 3 of 3 hold	1.3% · 1 of 3 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	3.7% · 12 wallets	7.0% · 14 wallets	1.4% · 14 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	96.3%	93.0%	98.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 14 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	cockis.near	6 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.09 NEAR	pair bought within 12.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 83 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.8 s of alola.near · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.8 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
2	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	19 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.11 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches pair bought within 22.2 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.6 s of cockis.near · 83 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.2 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 68 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
3	e8a162641a55288…58210	21 s · transaction	15.00 NEAR	12.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.46 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 2.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 68 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.0 s of alola.near · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.8 s of cockis.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
4	a61602ebdc9b583…012fc	28 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	75 s after buying · transaction	-0.48 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
5	fd5c09668cb779b…28411	28 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	75 s after buying · transaction	-0.49 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6	c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4	28 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	75 s after buying · transaction	-0.49 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7	7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6	29 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	76 s after buying · transaction	-1.41 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches pair bought within 0.6 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
8	9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607	30 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	76 s after buying · transaction	-1.72 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches pair bought within 1.1 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.7 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.7 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9	7ed179cee50dad9…3cd27	31 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	76 s after buying · transaction	-1.96 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 28 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of 9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.3 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.9 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	886fd94398f173c…35c2c	32 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	80 s after buying · transaction	-2.20 NEAR	group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 26 of those launches pair bought within 0.5 s of 7ed179cee50dad9…3cd27 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.7 s of 9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.8 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
11	alola.near	41 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.11 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 22.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.8 s of cockis.near · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
12	3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede	2.2 min · transaction	25.00 NEAR	30.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.54 NEAR	none found
13	ca91e88db543956…65717	5.0 min · transaction	14.85 NEAR	not sold	-0.99 NEAR	none found
14	satirexxx.near	7.4 min · transaction	39.60 NEAR	25.4 min after buying · transaction	-2.18 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of genesis-vault.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-05 00:12 UTC	justhoot v1	pakoko-eb94c3.launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low retro	undefined	history: launch only