batcat.nearlytrade.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 36 % (734 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 5.03 NEAR.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-23 15:29:36 UTC · block 221256655 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 375YfgnxnftUK…w1zXB |
| Creator | batcatnearly.near explorer |
| Pool | batcat.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 42.51 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00% |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-23 20:23 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-10-23 20:23 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.78x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 4 of 14 · 28.6% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 9 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | 52.1 min | 52.1 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| Buyers spent | 91.44 NEAR | 98.84 NEAR | 98.84 NEAR | 98.84 NEAR | 100.33 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | -2.41 NEAR | -1.78 NEAR | -2.42 NEAR | -5.03 NEAR | -5.12 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +2.15 NEAR | +3.45 NEAR | +2.54 NEAR | -0.26 NEAR | -0.26 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.26x | 1.26x | 1.26x | 1.26x | 1.26x |
| Holders | 8 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 3.9% · holds | 3.9% · holds | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 2.1% · 5 of 9 hold | 2.0% · 4 of 9 hold | 0% · 0 of 9 hold |
| Other early buyers | <0.01% · 1 of 2 hold | 0.6% · 3 of 4 hold | 0.1% · 2 of 4 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 2.1% · 11 wallets | 2.6% · 13 wallets | 0.1% · 13 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 94.0% | 93.5% | 99.9% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 31.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.05 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | 2.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.37 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.0045 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.0022 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 63 s after buying · transaction | +0.10 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 | 7 s · transaction | 20.59 NEAR | 52.0 min after buying · transaction | -2.48 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | bed97f5d7ab4e50…d7a44 | 42 s · transaction | 27.00 NEAR | 54 s after buying · transaction | +0.52 NEAR | none found |
| 8 | d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 | 54 s · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | 63 s after buying · transaction | -2.35 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | 1000xmoonwith.u….near | 78 s · transaction | 4.95 NEAR | 73 s after buying · transaction | -0.65 NEAR | none found |
| 10 | alola.near | 100 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 30.3 min after buying · transaction | -0.09 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
|
| 11 | quick-rider-483….near | 2.4 min · transaction | 1.40 NEAR | 24.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR | |
| 12 | nearlyanonymous.near | 8.3 min · transaction | 6.00 NEAR | 43.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.25 NEAR | none found |
| 13 | 07c4f546ac45df7…72216 | 10.9 min · transaction | 1.40 NEAR | not sold | -0.18 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.