The largest funder's (chingari.user.intear.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (785 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Outcome rug within 24 h
No rug.insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 3; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -15.34 NEAR · insiders' net result: +17.73 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 54% of its peak.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
Launch
Launched
2026-10-26 08:50:38 UTC · block 221665582 · history: launch only
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-06 03:29 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-11-06 03:29 UTC
Price now
1.01x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.53x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
30 of 62 · 48.4%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0.6% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
1% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
0.8% · 3 of 11 hold
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dev's first sell after launch
—
—
—
—
—
Buyers (other than the insiders)
16
32
48
55
62
Buyers spent
100.48 NEAR
326.22 NEAR
657.19 NEAR
807.13 NEAR
886.51 NEAR
Buyers net result
+8.45 NEAR
+77.48 NEAR
+61.82 NEAR
+56.29 NEAR
-15.34 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
3
3
3
3
3
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Insiders' net result
+20.56 NEAR
+28.24 NEAR
+27.57 NEAR
+27.37 NEAR
+17.73 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.18x
1.59x
1.91x
1.91x
1.91x
Holders
17
32
38
34
16
Top 10 holders' share
92.7%
74.2%
67.5%
81.1%
97.9%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0.6% · holds
0.6% · holds
0.6% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
1% · 2 of 2 hold
1% · 2 of 2 hold
1% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
0.3% · 1 of 1 hold
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
5.5% · 8 of 10 hold
5.5% · 9 of 11 hold
3.2% · 7 of 11 hold
Other early buyers
2.3% · 6 of 6 hold
12.6% · 18 of 18 hold
7.2% · 8 of 18 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
7.8% · 16 wallets
18.4% · 30 wallets
10.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
90.6%
80.0%
88.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
92.7%
74.2%
81.1%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
93.6% · 1 merged
74.6% · 1 merged
81.1% · 1 merged
The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.