BEET nearly.trade

beet.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (bb6d9ad38c735bab0e32877938d21a38e318c13eaf7031336c5802d86e45aab3) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (1284 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -13.16 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 33% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-14 14:19:53 UTC · block 219943173 · history: launch only
Transaction	4Ti4mwbVHVpSd…QBMrr
Creator	4f68431e18e8a3d24b9ccc36673bd50fb68945bd7c10604ac3a3d8ccaa7fcf6a explorer
Pool	beet.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-14 19:57 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	24	33	55	55	56
Buyers spent	217.05 NEAR	361.32 NEAR	843.40 NEAR	843.40 NEAR	843.40 NEAR
Buyers net result	+34.33 NEAR	+107.83 NEAR	-11.63 NEAR	-13.14 NEAR	-13.16 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.41x	1.75x	3.07x	3.07x	3.07x
Holders	22	30	6	4	3
Top 10 holders' share	64.8%	58.6%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	6.8% · 10 of 12 hold	6.9% · 9 of 12 hold	<0.01% · 1 of 12 hold
Other early buyers	9.1% · 12 of 12 hold	16.5% · 18 of 18 hold	0% · 0 of 18 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	15.8% · 24 wallets	23.5% · 30 wallets	0% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	84.2%	76.5%	100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	64.8%	58.6%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	75.4% · 3 merged	67.0% · 3 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	13.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.70 NEAR	pair bought within 7.4 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.2 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2	d27b78cc2c27c4d…5cabb	8 s · transaction	17.65 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	-2.77 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of 9792fc1b9b97e78…1edc6 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.3 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.3 s of 0ab507f9daa125b…93e99 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
3	b1edcbd5fbc3a8a…d2fe7	8 s · transaction	16.38 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	-1.25 NEAR	none found
4	6da565786a6a047…3d74d	8 s · transaction	12.87 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+8.88 NEAR	none found
5	839d4d0912a2a73…aef6a	8 s · transaction	8.12 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+14.04 NEAR	none found
6	9792fc1b9b97e78…1edc6	8 s · transaction	8.21 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+7.04 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.3 s of 0ab507f9daa125b…93e99 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.3 s of 5e163acd111d7f1…4dafc · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.8 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7	a480824ee316fa1…bd031	8 s · transaction	15.62 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+10.61 NEAR	none found
8	6707e0675aa3e48…492fd	8 s · transaction	13.89 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+7.54 NEAR	none found
9	928df339f07d24c…e3e6a	8 s · transaction	14.32 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+13.68 NEAR	none found
10	71b8e89a04ecd98…cb855	8 s · transaction	18.93 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+12.93 NEAR	none found
11	5e163acd111d7f1…4dafc	8 s · transaction	9.60 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+6.56 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 0ab507f9daa125b…93e99 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.3 s of 9792fc1b9b97e78…1edc6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
12	0ab507f9daa125b…93e99	8 s · transaction	19.57 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+7.26 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 5e163acd111d7f1…4dafc · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.3 s of 9792fc1b9b97e78…1edc6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
13	63c180ef19a002a…0baa4	8 s · transaction	9.18 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+4.77 NEAR	none found
14	09a4b0a1032800f…71838	8 s · transaction	20.45 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+5.49 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 0ab507f9daa125b…93e99 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 5e163acd111d7f1…4dafc · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
15	3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71	8 s · transaction	11.21 NEAR	26.9 min after buying · transaction	+1.55 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 0ab507f9daa125b…93e99 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 5e163acd111d7f1…4dafc · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
16	30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92	13 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	28.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.56 NEAR	pair bought within 7.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.8 s of alola.near · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 35 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
17	alola.near	36 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	19.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.51 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 30.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 28.7 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
18	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	43 s · transaction	12.05 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+1.63 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 7.2 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 52 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
19	e8a162641a55288…58210	64 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.76 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 58.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 28.7 s of alola.near · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 52 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
20	ea2d15e5771412c…b6cf5	94 s · transaction	25.00 NEAR	25.5 min after buying · transaction	+3.32 NEAR	pair bought within 58.6 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 4f68431e18e8a3d24b9cc…fcf6a

None known.