BEETLE nearly.trade

beetle-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2539 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -25.50 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 25% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-05 23:54:52 UTC · block 218714057 · history: launch only
Transaction	DHeKHbdhGdBAK…8ajuS
Creator	f07a57401198da867bbd5a038b61550297030296b164f632f6992c2e1f789174 explorer
Pool	beetle-2.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-06 16:13 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	23	42	42	42	42
Buyers spent	693.30 NEAR	1,686.41 NEAR	1,711.41 NEAR	1,711.41 NEAR	1,711.41 NEAR
Buyers net result	+115.52 NEAR	-21.24 NEAR	-25.47 NEAR	-25.47 NEAR	-25.50 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	2.06x	3.87x	3.87x	3.87x	3.87x
Holders	20	12	9	8	6
Top 10 holders' share	73.8%	99.6%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	17.1% · 14 of 16 hold	0.7% · 3 of 20 hold	<0.01% · 1 of 20 hold
Other early buyers	8.3% · 6 of 7 hold	4.2% · 5 of 10 hold	0.4% · 3 of 10 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	25.4% · 23 wallets	4.9% · 30 wallets	0.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	74.6%	95.1%	99.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	73.8%	99.6%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	96.0% · 3 merged	99.6% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	09a4b0a1032800f…71838	5 s · transaction	34.78 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+6.91 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of bab2c979354a1a5…f5c16 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of e313afb45f8d1fd…71ed4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
2	218e2a40fa2af2b…049e0	5 s · transaction	37.44 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+38.36 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 4 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of bab2c979354a1a5…f5c16 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
3	3cd87a183ea1689…0aa71	5 s · transaction	34.92 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+37.34 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 218e2a40fa2af2b…049e0 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.6 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
4	bab2c979354a1a5…f5c16	5 s · transaction	35.60 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+5.39 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 4 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of e313afb45f8d1fd…71ed4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of ff77852bb8bd6f2…6d949 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
5	ea2d15e5771412c…b6cf5	5 s · transaction	23.26 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+12.27 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of ff77852bb8bd6f2…6d949 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.6 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
6	e313afb45f8d1fd…71ed4	5 s · transaction	35.71 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	-3.22 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 4 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of bab2c979354a1a5…f5c16 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of ff77852bb8bd6f2…6d949 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7	ff77852bb8bd6f2…6d949	5 s · transaction	29.29 NEAR	14.2 min after buying · transaction	+16.66 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of ea2d15e5771412c…b6cf5 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 09a4b0a1032800f…71838 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of bab2c979354a1a5…f5c16 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
8	30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92	10 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	11.6 min after buying · transaction	+4.27 NEAR	pair bought within 8.6 s of alola.near · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.3 s of axxe.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
9	alola.near	18 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	8.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.63 NEAR	pair bought within 8.6 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 53.4 s of 3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.7 s of axxe.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10	axxe.near	28 s · transaction	40.00 NEAR	2.6 min after buying · transaction	+12.25 NEAR	pair bought within 9.7 s of alola.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 43.8 s of 3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 58.8 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
11	89e35553f4ab019…351b5	51 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.29 NEAR	none found
12	3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede	72 s · transaction	185.00 NEAR	2.0 min after buying · transaction	-40.80 NEAR	pair bought within 53.4 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 43.8 s of axxe.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.0 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
13	breezyoutside.near	78 s · transaction	39.60 NEAR	21.1 min after buying · transaction	-12.12 NEAR	none found
14	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	87 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	2.0 min after buying · transaction	-7.38 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of rekttin.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 58.8 s of axxe.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.0 s of 3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	rekttin.near	88 s · transaction	60.00 NEAR	112 s after buying · transaction	+1.38 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	soundsite36.near	88 s · transaction	29.70 NEAR	4.4 min after buying · transaction	+10.98 NEAR	none found
17	ebisidiaidi.near	99 s · transaction	300.00 NEAR	98 s after buying · transaction	+12.16 NEAR	none found
18	d27b78cc2c27c4d…5cabb	2.5 min · transaction	45.00 NEAR	11.8 min after buying · transaction	-8.24 NEAR	none found
19	lambadaa.near	3.0 min · transaction	146.00 NEAR	26 s after buying · transaction	-32.32 NEAR	none found
20	0abc765453a9cfd…c34fd	3.5 min · transaction	55.00 NEAR	10.8 min after buying · transaction	-14.40 NEAR	pair bought within 3.7 s of 33c9de738ea6e3c…21599 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of f07a57401198da867bbd5…89174

None known.