earn.v2-launchpad.justh….near justhoot v2

earn.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: High 60 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 25 % (799 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 7.66 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100.0% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: earnonhoot.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-19 16:24:43 UTC, 9.3 min after the launch: 7Nk12kchdZ6FG…XDCgK.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -7.66 NEAR · insiders' net result: +32.57 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-19 16:15:27 UTC · block 220679868 · history: launch only
TransactionydUY5MXA2rFFX…dVZoJ
Creatorearnonhoot.near explorer
Poolearn.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy31.59 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-20 05:57 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Dev's first sell after launch—9.3 min9.3 min9.3 min9.3 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)2223232327
Buyers spent124.48 NEAR126.46 NEAR126.46 NEAR126.46 NEAR172.54 NEAR
Buyers net result-1.52 NEAR-7.59 NEAR-7.59 NEAR-7.66 NEAR-10.96 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
Insiders' net result+36.65 NEAR+32.57 NEAR+32.57 NEAR+32.57 NEAR+32.57 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.19x1.19x1.19x1.19x1.19x
Holders176654
Top 10 holders' share92.0%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 2.9% · holds <0.01% · holds <0.01% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 4.2% · 13 of 18 hold 1.3% · 4 of 18 hold 1.2% · 3 of 18 hold
Other early buyers 1.1% · 3 of 4 hold 0.7% · 1 of 5 hold 0.7% · 1 of 5 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)5.3% · 22 wallets2.0% · 23 wallets2.0% · 23 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)91.8%98.0%98.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)92.0%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder92.0% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 6 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 9.3 min after buying · transaction -0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.2 s of ro52.near · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
2 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer 6 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of cockis.near · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
3 cockis.near 6 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.6 s of ro52.near · 94 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
4 ro52.near 8 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 19 s after buying · transaction -0.57 NEAR
pair bought within 2.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 96 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
5 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 25 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 4.6 min after buying · transaction +0.03 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 19.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 142 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 34.1 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
6 cyber_processor….near 29 s · transaction 1.98 NEAR 5.6 min after buying · transaction +0.01 NEAR
pair bought within 23.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.4 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
7 80289da0a50f047…d6989 32 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 97 s after buying · transaction +0.56 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches
pair bought within 26.8 s of alola.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.3 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 26.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
8 beenhere.near 48 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 12.6 min after buying · transaction -0.18 NEAR
pair bought within 42.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.8 s of alola.near · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 42.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
9 8375d38f538a83e…57122 52 s · transaction 13.50 NEAR not sold -1.22 NEAR
pair bought within 7.4 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.5 s of beenhere.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.3 s of js1112s.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
10 alola.near 59 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.3 min after buying · transaction -0.12 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 53.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 34.1 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
11 ddd677c8455ff08…63c01 64 s · transaction 9.90 NEAR 77 s after buying · transaction -0.44 NEAR
pair bought within 5.4 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 39.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.6 s of js1112s.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
12 js1112s.near 73 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 3.5 min after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 24 of those launches
pair bought within 13.9 s of alola.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 48.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 26.0 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
13 toxic_tentacle5….near 79 s · transaction 4.95 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction -0.23 NEAR
pair bought within 5.9 s of js1112s.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.9 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.9 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
14 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 99 s · transaction 10.07 NEAR 2.6 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
pair bought within 40.0 s of alola.near · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 26.0 s of js1112s.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.2 s of futureis.user.i….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
15 destruktor.near 100 s · transaction 8.00 NEAR 4.5 min after buying · transaction -0.85 NEAR
pair bought within 40.6 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 51.4 s of beenhere.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 ktxxfauzy.near 112 s · transaction 9.50 NEAR not sold -1.59 NEAR none found
17 phanbinh0297.near 2.1 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR none found
18 futureis.user.i….near 2.3 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 3.3 min after buying · transaction -1.02 NEAR
pair bought within 37.2 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.4 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 zjroboz3r0.near 2.5 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 117 s after buying · transaction -0.53 NEAR
pair bought within 8.6 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
20 h2onear.near 2.7 min · transaction 2.00 NEAR 3.9 min after buying · transaction -0.28 NEAR
pair bought within 8.6 s of zjroboz3r0.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.4 s of futureis.user.i….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of earnonhoot.near

None known.