fence.v2-launchpad.just….near justhoot v2

fence.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 issued 2026-11-12 08:28 UTC · config v2l-1 · rules v1.3

No risk signal fired for this launch.

v2r signals (weights fitted on launch history before the split date), two expert rules whose points are set by hand (a creator name that resembles a notable account; a fresh account funded through Intents or an exchange) and the creator's fee, whose points are an expert rule too: 8 points per 1 % of the trade that goes to the creator, at most 40 (not fitted). The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 26 % (274 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -0.93 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 96% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-13T08:27 UTC with config v2l-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-11-12 08:27:43 UTC · block 224189299 · live
Transaction	F8MmpW159jCcg…FE2Vk
Creator	busylynx8028.near explorer
Pool	fence.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-12 11:15 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-12 11:15 UTC
Price now	1.00x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.96x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	7 of 10 · 70%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 10 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	10	10	10	10	10
Buyers spent	47.20 NEAR	47.20 NEAR	47.20 NEAR	47.20 NEAR	47.20 NEAR
Buyers net result	-0.18 NEAR	-0.27 NEAR	-0.31 NEAR	-0.35 NEAR	-0.93 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.04x	1.04x	1.04x	1.04x	1.04x
Holders	5	3	2	1	2
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	2.2% · 5 of 10 hold	2.1% · 3 of 10 hold	1.9% · 1 of 10 hold
Other early buyers	—	—	—
All early buyers (the six rows above)	2.2% · 10 wallets	2.1% · 10 wallets	1.9% · 10 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	97.8%	97.9%	98.1%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 10 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	cockis.near	8 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	16.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 3.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
2	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	8 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	77 s after buying · transaction	+0.28 NEAR	pair bought within 3.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of cockis.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
3	yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet	9 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	19 s after buying · transaction	-0.0060 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
4	dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	9 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.01 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
5	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	9 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0063 NEAR	pair bought within 2.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
6	jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	9 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0090 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
7	trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	9 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0049 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
8	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	11 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.0009 NEAR	pair bought within 2.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.3 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
9	alola.near	22 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.0032 NEAR	pair bought within 10.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	franky.user.int….near	32 s · transaction	29.70 NEAR	not sold	-0.67 NEAR	pair bought within 20.9 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 31 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.6 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of busylynx8028.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-11-12 13:18 UTC	justhoot v2	jensen.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low	no rug	live
2026-11-13 11:20 UTC	justhoot v2	donk.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low	waiting	live