FUK nearly.trade

fuk.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 5 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 18:44 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

The creator's history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

The largest funder's (d04204b6591fefb973a8ed60929f8211af89ee38020da9faf905acdc7a320063) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (302 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T18:44 UTC with config v1-fit-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-09 18:44:33 UTC · block 223805683 · live
Transaction8kbbspJj27qxy…jmwWA
Creator70a9251b023cbde8d105e9a89508905f78f02419aab26b36e35ba921c7c1cfe2 explorer
Poolfuk.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy42.51 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-12 14:01 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-12 14:01 UTC
Price now1.68x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.45x the peak
Outside buyers in profit14 of 38 · 36.8%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account3.0% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev20.7% · 6 of 6 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 21 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)2431323337
Buyers spent706.15 NEAR1,324.09 NEAR1,343.89 NEAR1,495.89 NEAR1,595.49 NEAR
Buyers net result+71.69 NEAR+216.95 NEAR+55.73 NEAR+112.79 NEAR+13.89 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)47777
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+148.53 NEAR+405.77 NEAR+165.18 NEAR+275.32 NEAR+62.48 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer3.72x3.72x3.72x3.72x3.72x
Holders1324151613
Top 10 holders' share99.8%81.3%99.5%99.1%99.7%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 13% · holds 3.0% · holds 3.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev 10.7% · 3 of 3 hold 20.6% · 6 of 6 hold 20.7% · 6 of 6 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.3% · 4 of 17 hold 9.6% · 9 of 21 hold 5.8% · 3 of 21 hold
Other early buyers 8.6% · 5 of 7 hold 9.2% · 5 of 9 hold 7.7% · 3 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)8.9% · 24 wallets18.9% · 30 wallets13.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)67.4%57.5%62.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)99.8%81.3%99.1%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder99.8% · 0 merged90.9% · 1 merged99.1% · 0 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 8 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction +4.80 NEAR
pair bought within 3.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
2 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 10 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.6 min after buying · transaction +1.06 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 111 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
3 yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet 10 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 71 s after buying · transaction +0.56 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
4 trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 10 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 51 s after buying · transaction +0.53 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of yazaplakal.send….near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
5 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 10 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.7 min after buying · transaction +0.99 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
6 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 11 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +1.46 NEAR
pair bought within 3.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 111 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
7 56c9a6ef438223b….near 31 s · transaction 241.00 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction +118.06 NEAR
pair bought within 41.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 20.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 61 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
8 s3m0n.tg 45 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 105 s after buying · transaction +9.53 NEAR
pair bought within 27.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 72 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction -0.03 NEAR
pair bought within 41.0 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.9 s of buyitall.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.1 s of fuck_you_all.us….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
10 fuck_you_all.us….near 87 s · transaction 1.98 NEAR 3.1 min after buying · transaction -0.03 NEAR
pair bought within 14.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of 1d2309fc71e7ffa…290d9 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 55.1 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
11 1d2309fc71e7ffa…290d9 87 s · transaction 13.88 NEAR 2.4 min after buying · transaction -0.11 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of fuck_you_all.us….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
12 tahaafasd.near 109 s · transaction 200.00 NEAR not sold +13.18 NEAR none found
13 tiojacale.near 2.1 min · transaction 200.00 NEAR 91 s after buying · transaction -0.57 NEAR none found
14 buyitall.near 2.2 min · transaction 70.00 NEAR 76 s after buying · transaction -0.98 NEAR
pair bought within 57.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 46.1 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
15 vikin.near 2.2 min · transaction 100.00 NEAR 45 s after buying · transaction -8.28 NEAR none found
16 3024eac17eb7993…234cc 2.4 min · transaction 5.55 NEAR 19.0 min after buying · transaction -2.40 NEAR
pair bought within 54.8 s of fuck_you_all.us….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17 grill.user.intear.near 2.5 min · transaction 4.95 NEAR 41.8 min after buying · transaction -2.19 NEAR none found
18 ethereal_tentac….near 2.5 min · transaction 0.99 NEAR 49 s after buying · transaction -0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 28.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 quick-rider-483….near 2.5 min · transaction 0.25 NEAR 16.1 min after buying · transaction -0.11 NEAR none found
20 shortgirl.user.….near 2.6 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 71 s after buying · transaction -4.28 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 5.9 s of fiery_spire1.us….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 70a9251b023cbde8d105e…1cfe2

None known.