HOLYSHIT nearly.trade

holyshit.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 issued 2026-11-06 19:40 UTC · config v0-default-1 · rules v0.1

No risk signal fired for this launch.

v0 — weights are provisional; calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (395 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 78 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: jastz16z.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-11-07 13:41:16 UTC, 1080.7 min after the launch: 283UXvHZH5Nbm…i9WDg.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -6.53 NEAR · insiders' net result: -1.07 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 78% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-06 19:40:32 UTC · block 223360730 · live
TransactionDvT3taqaa7bwN…dT8vn
Creatorjastz16z.near explorer
Poolholyshit.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-07 13:41 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-07 13:41 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.78x the peak
Outside buyers in profit9 of 18 · 50%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side0% · 0 of 2 hold
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0.1% · 2 of 12 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Dev's first sell after launch————1080.7 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1617171718
Buyers spent114.49 NEAR115.48 NEAR115.48 NEAR115.48 NEAR115.58 NEAR
Buyers net result+4.02 NEAR-0.14 NEAR-1.70 NEAR-2.58 NEAR-6.53 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Insiders' net result+2.12 NEAR+1.49 NEAR+1.11 NEAR+0.94 NEAR-1.07 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.27x1.27x1.27x1.27x1.27x
Holders1210974
Top 10 holders' share100.0%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 1.4% · holds 1.4% · holds 1.4% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side 4.5% · 2 of 2 hold 4.5% · 2 of 2 hold 4.5% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 1.3% · 7 of 12 hold 1.0% · 5 of 12 hold 0.1% · 2 of 12 hold
Other early buyers 2.1% · 2 of 2 hold 0.1% · 2 of 3 hold 0.1% · 2 of 3 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)7.9% · 16 wallets5.6% · 17 wallets4.6% · 17 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)90.7%93.0%94.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100.0%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100.0% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 17 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR
2 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
3 trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.16 NEAR
4 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction +0.73 NEAR
5 yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 11.5 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
6 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.1 min after buying · transaction +0.14 NEAR
7 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 15.1 min after buying · transaction +0.07 NEAR
8 teeflux.user.in….near 37 s · transaction 0.99 NEAR 114 s after buying · transaction +0.13 NEAR
9 alola.near 49 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.1 min after buying · transaction +0.03 NEAR
10 getrix.near 60 s · transaction 24.00 NEAR not sold +0.49 NEAR
11 rudekoala8051.near 72 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR 13.4 min after buying · transaction -0.28 NEAR
12 80289da0a50f047…d6989 80 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 83 s after buying · transaction +0.14 NEAR
13 salam4.near 92 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR not sold -2.65 NEAR
14 js1112s.near 94 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 50.2 min after buying · transaction -1.38 NEAR
15 b8185e452876272…dff87 103 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.13 NEAR
16 gooner7.near 2.4 min · transaction 0.50 NEAR 46 s after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
17 rusty_drone.use….near 5.3 min · transaction 0.99 NEAR not sold -0.10 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of jastz16z.near

None known.