hootal.v2-launchpad.jus….near justhoot v2

hootal.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (betaalpha.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 40 % (805 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 2; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Received tokens from the dev: game.testteste.near.
Outside buyers' net result: -94.70 NEAR · insiders' net result: +3.68 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 39% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-26 17:31:50 UTC · block 221720048 · history: launch only
Transaction	6qCKhiyqaS79b…bXPyn
Creator	hootalkombat.near explorer
Pool	hootal.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	6.84 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-05 17:44 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-05 17:44 UTC
Price now	0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.38x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	23 of 68 · 33.8%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	0.1% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	0% · 0 of 3 hold
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 15 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	25	52	58	63	68
Buyers spent	423.79 NEAR	1,228.88 NEAR	1,468.73 NEAR	1,664.86 NEAR	1,819.41 NEAR
Buyers net result	+140.29 NEAR	+270.51 NEAR	+81.15 NEAR	-3.24 NEAR	-94.70 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	2	2	2	2	2
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Insiders' net result	+13.18 NEAR	+16.86 NEAR	+13.04 NEAR	+9.94 NEAR	+3.68 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.86x	2.62x	2.62x	2.62x	2.62x
Holders	27	42	39	34	15
Top 10 holders' share	74.0%	69.0%	70.4%	80.7%	98.5%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0.6% · holds	0.7% · holds	1.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	<0.01% · 1 of 1 hold	<0.01% · 1 of 1 hold	<0.01% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	3.5% · 3 of 3 hold	0.6% · 1 of 3 hold	0.6% · 1 of 3 hold
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	16.8% · 15 of 15 hold	12.4% · 11 of 15 hold	6.8% · 8 of 15 hold
Other early buyers	5.7% · 7 of 7 hold	6.9% · 7 of 12 hold	3.9% · 5 of 12 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	26.1% · 25 wallets	20.0% · 30 wallets	11.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	73.3%	79.4%	87.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	74.0%	69.0%	80.7%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	74.3% · 2 merged	69.0% · 2 merged	80.7% · 2 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	14.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.72 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of cockis.near · 157 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.8 s of alola.near · 94 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper	5 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	40.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.21 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.8 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
3	cockis.near	6 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.54 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 157 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.7 s of alola.near · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
4	brave-owl-35.se….near trading bot wallet	10 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	7.8 min after buying · transaction	+6.34 NEAR	dev side received 5.00 NEAR from glacial_anomaly….near (a member of the dev's linked group), 6304.6 min before its first buy · transaction pair bought within 4.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.5 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.3 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	brave-owl-21.se….near trading bot wallet	10 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	+9.67 NEAR	pair bought within 21.5 s of frigid_polar1.u….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
6	pussy.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet	10 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	not sold	+3.58 NEAR	dev side received 10.00 NEAR from sergeserge1.tg (a member of the dev's linked group), 4851.4 min before its first buy · transaction pair bought within 4.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.5 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.3 s of alola.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
7	fuck_you_all.us….near	23 s · transaction	100.98 NEAR	74 s after buying · transaction	+3.24 NEAR	pair bought within 17.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.3 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.4 s of cockis.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
8	kolosun.tg	27 s · transaction	7.00 NEAR	not sold	+2.99 NEAR	none found
9	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	27 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	15.4 min after buying · transaction	+20.53 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 9.8 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.7 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 36 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
10	frigid_polar1.u….near	31 s · transaction	23.76 NEAR	not sold	+6.70 NEAR	pair bought within 4.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.8 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.5 s of brave-owl-21.se….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
11	alola.near	37 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	10.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.76 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 31.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.8 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.8 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 94 launches together · their buy · evidence and 10 more pairs · all pairs
12	56c9a6ef438223b….near	40 s · transaction	24.00 NEAR	6.8 min after buying · transaction	+12.98 NEAR	pair bought within 34.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.9 s of alola.near · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.6 s of cockis.near · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
13	phbo.near	40 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	6.2 min after buying · transaction	+6.39 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches pair bought within 34.2 s of cockis.near · 48 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 48 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of alola.near · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
14	h2onear.near	55 s · transaction	9.00 NEAR	6.3 min after buying · transaction	+3.57 NEAR	pair bought within 17.9 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.3 s of phbo.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 49.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
15	b4cb42910279741….near	71 s · transaction	16.00 NEAR	24.4 min after buying · transaction	+2.56 NEAR	pair bought within 34.3 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.8 s of phbo.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	unfair_virus1.u….near	78 s · transaction	19.80 NEAR	not sold	+4.02 NEAR	pair bought within 41.1 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 50.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	rusty_drone.use….near	2.0 min · transaction	18.96 NEAR	12.1 min after buying · transaction	+4.00 NEAR	none found
18	ab2295f07e95ecb…8fa65	2.4 min · transaction	53.00 NEAR	15.8 min after buying · transaction	+17.37 NEAR	pair bought within 48.4 s of softdove3960.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19	cyber_blob.user….near	2.4 min · transaction	115.32 NEAR	5.7 min after buying · transaction	-2.32 NEAR	none found
20	metallic_blob3.….near	2.8 min · transaction	1.09 NEAR	9.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.80 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of hootalkombat.near

None known.