hootpot-2192a7.launchpa….near justhoot v1

hootpot-2192a7.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (5c33c6218d47e00ef229f60da78d0897e1ee9665312550b8afd5f9c7bc6957d2) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 25 % (813 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 2; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Received tokens from the dev: pot.hootpot.near.
Outside buyers' net result: -22.13 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 65% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-18 21:15:26 UTC · block 220565242 · history: launch only
Transaction	GS7YNaJv4Y6cZ…Qknhz
Creator	hootpot.near explorer
Pool	hootpot-2192a7.launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	1.14 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-19 19:44 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	26	35	40	46	48
Buyers spent	277.00 NEAR	425.80 NEAR	516.40 NEAR	620.14 NEAR	636.34 NEAR
Buyers net result	+60.95 NEAR	+21.10 NEAR	+26.18 NEAR	+47.97 NEAR	-22.13 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	2	2	2	2
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.53x	1.53x	1.53x	1.53x	1.54x
Holders	27	25	24	27	4
Top 10 holders' share	77.7%	86.5%	87.4%	85.0%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	<0.01% · 1 of 1 hold	0.2% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	13.0% · 17 of 17 hold	8.3% · 11 of 17 hold	7.7% · 8 of 17 hold
Other early buyers	6.0% · 9 of 9 hold	5.2% · 9 of 13 hold	5.5% · 7 of 13 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	19.0% · 26 wallets	13.5% · 30 wallets	13.1% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	81.0%	86.5%	86.7%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	77.7%	86.5%	85.0%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	80.9% · 1 merged	87.1% · 1 merged	85.4% · 1 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	wrapz-z.near independent sniper	1 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	6.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.24 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.7 s of cockis.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
2	ro52.near	1 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.32 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
3	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper	1 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.51 NEAR	pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.7 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
4	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer	2 s · transaction	6.00 NEAR	27.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 1.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.5 s of cockis.near · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
5	cockis.near	7 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.51 NEAR	pair bought within 5.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
6	frank-smith.near	23 s · transaction	17.82 NEAR	not sold	+8.58 NEAR	none found
7	barrey.near	24 s · transaction	22.77 NEAR	not sold	+9.82 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 47 of those launches pair bought within 30.8 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 54.3 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
8	56c9a6ef438223b….near	31 s · transaction	24.00 NEAR	4.7 min after buying · transaction	+7.08 NEAR	pair bought within 29.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 61 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9	axcte.near	43 s · transaction	16.83 NEAR	not sold	+5.59 NEAR	none found
10	alola.near	55 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.31 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 52.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 53.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 53.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 9 more pairs · all pairs
11	snow-lie.near	62 s · transaction	6.93 NEAR	not sold	+2.11 NEAR	none found
12	5b49890852f0341…a68e6	67 s · transaction	9.90 NEAR	not sold	+1.96 NEAR	none found
13	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	78 s · transaction	70.00 NEAR	4.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.92 NEAR	pair bought within 23.5 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.9 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.1 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
14	p0tz.near	88 s · transaction	59.40 NEAR	not sold	+12.21 NEAR	pair bought within 32.8 s of alola.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.4 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.6 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
15	e8a162641a55288…58210	91 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	3.6 min after buying · transaction	+1.24 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 36.5 s of alola.near · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.9 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.6 s of p0tz.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
16	i5229173676.tg	102 s · transaction	4.47 NEAR	16.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.62 NEAR	pair bought within 46.8 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	nobelieee.near	110 s · transaction	31.00 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	-0.22 NEAR	pair bought within 54.7 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.2 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	kimpet77.near	2.5 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	3.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.27 NEAR	pair bought within 11.5 s of slaynz.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
19	beenhere.near	2.6 min · transaction	1.98 NEAR	27.6 min after buying · transaction	-0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 39.4 s of destruktor.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
20	slaynz.near	2.8 min · transaction	23.00 NEAR	13.8 min after buying · transaction	-1.75 NEAR	pair bought within 11.5 s of kimpet77.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of hootpot.near

None known.