hootvember.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 45 % (682 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-01 07:16:17 UTC · block 222536807 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | D1cV6E7q5fAcK…qqQFj |
| Creator | hootvember.near explorer |
| Pool | hootvember.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.00 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-02 19:09 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-02 19:09 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.87x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 5 of 13 · 38.5% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 11 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Buyers spent | 69.93 NEAR | 86.84 NEAR | 86.84 NEAR | 86.84 NEAR | 86.84 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +1.44 NEAR | -1.67 NEAR | -1.67 NEAR | -2.02 NEAR | -4.27 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Insiders' net result | -0.12 NEAR | -0.20 NEAR | -0.20 NEAR | -0.22 NEAR | -0.36 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.13x | 1.13x | 1.13x | 1.13x | 1.13x |
| Holders | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 3 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0.2% · holds | 0.2% · holds | 0.2% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 5.4% · 9 of 11 hold | 2.5% · 6 of 11 hold | 2.3% · 4 of 11 hold |
| Other early buyers | — | 1.3% · 2 of 2 hold | 1.3% · 2 of 2 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 5.4% · 11 wallets | 3.8% · 13 wallets | 3.6% · 13 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 94.3% | 96.0% | 96.1% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 1 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dolph.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 8 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.03 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer | 8 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 35.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.02 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | phbo.near | 8 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.04 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 4 | wrapz-z.near independent sniper | 8 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | 12.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.09 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 8 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.05 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | cockis.near | 10 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.03 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | teeflux.user.in….near | 21 s · transaction | 19.80 NEAR | not sold | +0.30 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | shortgirl.user.….near | 102 s · transaction | 6.93 NEAR | not sold | -0.05 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
|
| 9 | alola.near | 112 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 30.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.03 NEAR | |
| 10 | h2onear.near | 2.4 min · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 11.6 min after buying · transaction | -0.16 NEAR | |
| 11 | hmmmm.user.intear.near | 2.4 min · transaction | 29.70 NEAR | 3.5 min after buying · transaction | -1.65 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
|
| 12 | fastest.user.in….near | 6.7 min · transaction | 8.91 NEAR | not sold | -0.31 NEAR | none found |
| 13 | pictureperfect.near | 7.7 min · transaction | 8.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.39 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.