hootween.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 39 % (834 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-27 21:16:11 UTC · block 221880743 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 2F8jo61wK9grR…XBkFB |
| Creator | zamestitele.tg explorer |
| Pool | hootween.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 3.36 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-07 17:08 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-07 17:08 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 1.06x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.55x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 16 of 71 · 22.5% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 15 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 21 | 31 | 32 | 35 | 61 |
| Buyers spent | 381.64 NEAR | 600.48 NEAR | 604.40 NEAR | 616.20 NEAR | 844.79 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +101.43 NEAR | +74.19 NEAR | +11.76 NEAR | +11.95 NEAR | +41.73 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Insiders' net result | +5.98 NEAR | +5.77 NEAR | +4.77 NEAR | +4.79 NEAR | +5.45 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.73x | 1.91x | 1.91x | 1.91x | 1.91x |
| Holders | 21 | 28 | 22 | 22 | 39 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 95.4% | 91.0% | 96.8% | 95.9% | 88.3% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0.3% · holds | 0.3% · holds | 0.3% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 5.1% · 12 of 13 hold | 5.3% · 14 of 15 hold | 4.2% · 7 of 15 hold |
| Other early buyers | 18.4% · 8 of 8 hold | 16.7% · 12 of 15 hold | 10.6% · 9 of 15 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 23.4% · 21 wallets | 22.0% · 30 wallets | 14.8% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 76.2% | 77.7% | 84.8% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 95.4% | 91.0% | 95.9% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 95.8% · 1 merged | 91.4% · 1 merged | 96.5% · 1 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 31.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.32 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 25.7 min after buying · transaction | +1.77 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer | 5 s · transaction | 8.00 NEAR | 35.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.23 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 5 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | 42.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.93 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 42.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.30 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | cockis.near | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.35 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 7 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 33.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.15 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 8 | hooting.near | 16 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 23.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.35 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | alola.near | 24 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 24.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.33 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | c801ce8b655657b…a0809 | 28 s · transaction | 97.37 NEAR | not sold | +18.97 NEAR | none found |
| 11 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 38 s · transaction | 28.00 NEAR | 107 s after buying · transaction | +2.04 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 12 | phbo.near | 48 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | not sold | +1.20 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 13 | 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 | 53 s · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | not sold | +2.46 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 14 | 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba | 65 s · transaction | 39.74 NEAR | 10.6 min after buying · transaction | +4.51 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 15 | 567e43c697f4113…84e34 | 2.8 min · transaction | 50.00 NEAR | 11.8 min after buying · transaction | +10.87 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | rekttin.near | 2.9 min · transaction | 149.40 NEAR | 3.8 min after buying · transaction | -12.07 NEAR | none found |
| 17 | juliavavilova.near | 3.3 min · transaction | 35.95 NEAR | not sold | -4.18 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | craway7.near | 3.4 min · transaction | 75.00 NEAR | 3.5 min after buying · transaction | -2.92 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | 5330416d2d20245…f7cb5 | 4.1 min · transaction | 14.85 NEAR | 24.4 min after buying · transaction | -2.73 NEAR | none found |
| 20 | quick-rider-483….near | 4.4 min · transaction | 0.30 NEAR | not sold | -0.06 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.