icp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near justhoot v2

icp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (3e93b62aec7f1275a2eb6a0145d1d6406fd94f6c44f7fd705711f8139b5d25f9) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 31 % (688 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -6.83 NEAR · insiders' net result: +22.36 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 62% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-22 11:17:11 UTC · block 221084592 · history: launch only
Transaction	CmEswVStNNxK8…8cN4Y
Creator	majorjava1675.near explorer
Pool	icp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	20.87 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-22 15:53 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	24	30	30	30	32
Buyers spent	208.22 NEAR	457.17 NEAR	457.17 NEAR	457.17 NEAR	469.16 NEAR
Buyers net result	+28.22 NEAR	-6.17 NEAR	-6.47 NEAR	-6.53 NEAR	-6.83 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Insiders' net result	+29.71 NEAR	+22.80 NEAR	+22.51 NEAR	+22.44 NEAR	+22.36 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.35x	1.63x	1.63x	1.63x	1.63x
Holders	21	12	9	8	5
Top 10 holders' share	90.5%	100.0%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	2% · holds	2% · holds	2% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	12.2% · 16 of 19 hold	2.0% · 8 of 19 hold	1.6% · 4 of 19 hold
Other early buyers	2.6% · 5 of 5 hold	0.1% · 2 of 11 hold	0.1% · 2 of 11 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	14.8% · 24 wallets	2.2% · 30 wallets	1.7% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	83.2%	95.8%	96.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	90.5%	100.0%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	93.6% · 3 merged	100.0% · 2 merged	100% · 2 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	5 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	64 s after buying · transaction	+0.04 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	15.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
3	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	19.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
4	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	10.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.29 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
5	onlyrekt.near	5 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	50.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 118 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 90 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
6	cockis.near	6 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.01 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
7	phbo.near	8 s · transaction	13.00 NEAR	10.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.24 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches pair bought within 3.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 50 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 50 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.0 s of cockis.near · 48 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
8	cyber_processor….near	28 s · transaction	2.97 NEAR	4.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.01 NEAR	pair bought within 23.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.9 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9	alola.near	38 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	9.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.10 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 33.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
10	ab2295f07e95ecb…8fa65	44 s · transaction	74.00 NEAR	45 s after buying · transaction	+2.69 NEAR	pair bought within 5.5 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.4 s of phbo.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
11	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	50 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	9.0 min after buying · transaction	+2.89 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 12.0 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
12	naughtyslime.us….near	87 s · transaction	9.90 NEAR	6.7 min after buying · transaction	+1.35 NEAR	none found
13	ironborn.user.i….near	108 s · transaction	34.65 NEAR	6.0 min after buying · transaction	+1.39 NEAR	none found
14	rekttin.near	2.8 min · transaction	69.72 NEAR	7.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.44 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches pair bought within 55.8 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.5 s of hungcoiiii1.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	hungcoiiii1.near	3.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	4.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.51 NEAR	pair bought within 17.3 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.3 s of softdove3960.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.5 s of rekttin.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	1e3e1c83ce489cb…33345	3.5 min · transaction	0.99 NEAR	7.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.15 NEAR	pair bought within 15.5 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	cryptobullz.near	3.7 min · transaction	1.11 NEAR	10.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.18 NEAR	none found
18	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	3.7 min · transaction	25.00 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	-1.71 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 55.8 s of rekttin.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.5 s of 1e3e1c83ce489cb…33345 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.3 s of hungcoiiii1.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
19	walmond777.user….near	3.8 min · transaction	4.95 NEAR	3.7 min after buying · transaction	+0.83 NEAR	none found
20	softdove3960.near	3.8 min · transaction	16.00 NEAR	4.1 min after buying · transaction	-1.11 NEAR	pair bought within 23.3 s of hungcoiiii1.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of majorjava1675.near

None known.