icp53.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 31 % (688 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 96 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-22 15:45:30 UTC · block 221111953 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 4nKmpu2sDFrYD…e8WAw |
| Creator | degenping.near explorer |
| Pool | icp53.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 2.09 NEAR |
Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.
This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.
| Last trade | 2026-10-22 17:29 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data) |
|---|---|
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 · no trade seen in our live data |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 104.4 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Buyers spent | 12.00 NEAR | 16.95 NEAR | 16.95 NEAR | 16.95 NEAR | 16.95 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | -0.55 NEAR | -0.80 NEAR | -0.96 NEAR | -0.99 NEAR | -0.99 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +2.14 NEAR | +2.14 NEAR | +2.13 NEAR | +2.12 NEAR | +2.06 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.02x |
| Holders | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | — |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0.2% · holds | 0.2% · holds | 0.2% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.6% · 5 of 10 hold | 0.2% · 2 of 10 hold | 0% · 0 of 10 hold |
| Other early buyers | — | 0.5% · 1 of 1 hold | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 0.6% · 10 wallets | 0.6% · 11 wallets | 0% · 11 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 99.2% | 99.2% | 99.8% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 5 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 60 s after buying · transaction | -0.02 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet | 5 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 61 s after buying · transaction | -0.09 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | onlyrekt.near | 5 s · transaction | 1.50 NEAR | 4.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.08 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 5 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 11.2 min after buying · transaction | -0.11 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | cockis.near | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 10.6 min after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 8 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 9 | alola.near | 19 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 30.3 min after buying · transaction | -0.08 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b | 27 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 16.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.07 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | naughtyslime.us….near | 10.1 min · transaction | 4.95 NEAR | 10.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.32 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 17:37 UTC | justhoot v2 | icp53-2.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near | 0 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |