icpee.nearlytrade.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 32 % (687 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 32 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-22 14:46:05 UTC · block 221105899 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | BMSWVa5jDDPxk…Xi4TX |
| Creator | marcellx.near explorer |
| Pool | icpee.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 19.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 1.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00% |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-29 14:23 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-10-29 14:23 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 1.00x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.31x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 24 of 68 · 35.3% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 24 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 1231.7 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 22 | 27 | 36 | 44 | 67 |
| Buyers spent | 341.13 NEAR | 488.27 NEAR | 819.00 NEAR | 991.87 NEAR | 1,942.72 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +6.68 NEAR | +40.75 NEAR | +172.03 NEAR | +312.70 NEAR | -109.39 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +5.29 NEAR | +9.93 NEAR | +20.44 NEAR | +28.47 NEAR | -1.12 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.74x | 1.74x | 2.38x | 2.56x | 3.28x |
| Holders | 15 | 16 | 22 | 29 | 15 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 97.0% | 95.5% | 84.0% | 72.2% | 98.9% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 1.8% · holds | 1.8% · holds | 1.8% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 9.7% · 12 of 21 hold | 10.1% · 9 of 21 hold | 18.0% · 11 of 24 hold |
| Other early buyers | 1.9% · 1 of 1 hold | 8.1% · 6 of 6 hold | 5.9% · 5 of 6 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 11.6% · 22 wallets | 18.1% · 27 wallets | 23.9% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 86.6% | 80.1% | 74.2% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 97.0% | 95.5% | 72.2% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 99.7% · 3 merged | 98.7% · 3 merged | 83.8% · 4 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 4.7 min after buying · transaction | +0.45 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 10.9 min after buying · transaction | +0.35 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 22.5 min after buying · transaction | +1.08 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 2.7 min after buying · transaction | +1.16 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | not sold | +0.71 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 | 5 s · transaction | 20.05 NEAR | 22.7 min after buying · transaction | +24.96 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | onlyrekt.near | 6 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 14.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.73 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 8 | 5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc | 14 s · transaction | 6.00 NEAR | 22.4 min after buying · transaction | +7.51 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 69 of those launches
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | alola.near | 23 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 22.5 min after buying · transaction | +1.08 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b | 23 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 36.4 min after buying · transaction | +1.24 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 | 24 s · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | 6.0 min after buying · transaction | +8.50 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 12 | cyber_processor….near | 27 s · transaction | 1.98 NEAR | 2.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.80 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 13 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 31 s · transaction | 24.00 NEAR | 3.4 min after buying · transaction | +8.03 NEAR |
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 14 | hybrid.user.int….near | 33 s · transaction | 39.60 NEAR | not sold | +37.88 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 15 | 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e | 33 s · transaction | 40.00 NEAR | 4.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.68 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 16 | nonearforyou.near | 53 s · transaction | 39.60 NEAR | 3.7 min after buying · transaction | -0.73 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches
|
| 17 | 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 | 81 s · transaction | 17.00 NEAR | not sold | +12.32 NEAR |
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 18 | proud-walrus-52….near | 88 s · transaction | 20.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.87 NEAR | |
| 19 | rekttin.near | 94 s · transaction | 99.60 NEAR | 2.5 min after buying · transaction | +38.03 NEAR |
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches
|
| 20 | soulhunter305.near | 105 s · transaction | 34.00 NEAR | not sold | +17.62 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 11:35 UTC | nearly.trade | icpoo.nearlytrade.near | 0 Low retro | rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-10-23 17:36 UTC | nearly.trade | icpenis.nearlytrade.near | 30 Elevated retro | rug | history: launch only |