ikp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 29 % (748 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-21 19:12:22 UTC · block 220986258 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | EQp3N4qcMjwTS…F7kYC |
| Creator | indernedkeputer.near explorer |
| Pool | ikp.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.00 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-12 12:16 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-12 12:16 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 1.74x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.08x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 156 of 469 · 33.3% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.0% · 5 of 17 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 34 | 53 | 94 | 138 | 383 |
| Buyers spent | 300.17 NEAR | 800.23 NEAR | 2,270.96 NEAR | 3,170.84 NEAR | 21,485.16 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +46.79 NEAR | +122.95 NEAR | +1,492.61 NEAR | +2,467.92 NEAR | +2,289.82 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Insiders' net result | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.60x | 2.41x | 5.40x | 7.25x | 22.76x |
| Holders | 27 | 34 | 71 | 126 | 245 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 78.9% | 72.7% | 48.1% | 41.5% | 37.5% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 6.6% · 11 of 17 hold | 1.5% · 8 of 17 hold | 2.3% · 8 of 17 hold |
| Other early buyers | 6.5% · 12 of 13 hold | 10.7% · 10 of 13 hold | 10.6% · 9 of 13 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 13.1% · 30 wallets | 12.2% · 30 wallets | 12.8% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 86.9% | 87.8% | 87.2% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 78.9% | 72.7% | 41.5% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 79.4% · 2 merged | 72.7% · 1 merged | 41.5% · 1 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet | 5 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 5.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.90 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer | 5 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | not sold | +13.04 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 5 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 5.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.85 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 10.1 min after buying · transaction | +3.06 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | cockis.near | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +5.95 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | js1112s.near | 13 s · transaction | 20.00 NEAR | 103 s after buying · transaction | +2.08 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b | 20 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 7.0 min after buying · transaction | +3.70 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba | 24 s · transaction | 133.65 NEAR | 71 s after buying · transaction | +17.19 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 | 31 s · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | 12.1 min after buying · transaction | +21.08 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 | 37 s · transaction | 4.75 NEAR | 80 s after buying · transaction | -0.27 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | fuck_you_all.us….near | 54 s · transaction | 100.98 NEAR | 48 s after buying · transaction | +59.62 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 12 | darknes.near | 58 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 3.9 min after buying · transaction | +2.63 NEAR | |
| 13 | stonkfun.near | 76 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | not sold | +49.29 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | km686.tg | 94 s · transaction | 25.00 NEAR | 4.1 min after buying · transaction | +1.74 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
|
| 15 | warmcatt.near | 95 s · transaction | 4.80 NEAR | 20 s after buying · transaction | -0.32 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches
|
| 16 | 11407a4ac5c7a66…6f62f | 106 s · transaction | 0.95 NEAR | 53 s after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR | none found |
| 17 | 62d1b9c88f35252…f6973 | 119 s · transaction | 70.66 NEAR | not sold | +201.47 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | krhuize.tg | 2.2 min · transaction | 9.00 NEAR | not sold | +26.68 NEAR | |
| 19 | bb69606c2ee37dd…1ad9a | 2.4 min · transaction | 164.34 NEAR | 7.3 min after buying · transaction | +34.98 NEAR | none found |
| 20 | h2onear.near | 2.5 min · transaction | 8.90 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +1.13 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.