illia-4.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Risk score: Low 25 / 100 issued 2026-11-06 03:22 UTC · config v0-default-1 · rules v0.1
v0 — weights are provisional; calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (460 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 1.73 NEAR.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-06 03:22:04 UTC · block 223259121 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | AFgq8qaAweW91…z22CP |
| Creator | neptulian.near explorer |
| Pool | illia-4.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 42.64 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-06 06:56 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-06 06:56 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.91x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.67x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 1 of 9 · 11.1% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 9 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | 2.7 min | 2.7 min | 2.7 min | 2.7 min | 2.7 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Buyers spent | 203.50 NEAR | 203.50 NEAR | 203.50 NEAR | 203.50 NEAR | 203.50 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | -1.72 NEAR | -1.72 NEAR | -1.72 NEAR | -1.73 NEAR | -1.73 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +41.30 NEAR | +41.30 NEAR | +41.30 NEAR | +41.30 NEAR | +41.30 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.36x | 1.36x | 1.36x | 1.36x | 1.36x |
| Holders | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | — |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.1% · 1 of 9 hold | 0.1% · 1 of 9 hold | 0% · 0 of 9 hold |
| Other early buyers | — | — | — |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 0.1% · 9 wallets | 0.1% · 9 wallets | 0% · 9 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | — |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged | — |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wrapz-z.near independent sniper | 8 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 2.6 min after buying · transaction | -0.28 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | pussy.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 8 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 2.6 min after buying · transaction | -0.11 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 3 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper | 11 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 2.6 min after buying · transaction | -0.08 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | franky.user.int….near | 26 s · transaction | 49.50 NEAR | 32 s after buying · transaction | +12.04 NEAR |
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 7 of those launches
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 5 | buyitall.near | 40 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 2.4 min after buying · transaction | -2.05 NEAR |
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 45 s · transaction | 120.00 NEAR | 105 s after buying · transaction | -7.75 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | phbo.near | 49 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 117 s after buying · transaction | -3.15 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | alola.near | 60 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 30.3 min after buying · transaction | -0.28 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | darkoasis5043.near | 67 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 16 s after buying · transaction | -0.07 NEAR |
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.