IMTEST nearly.trade

imtest.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 issued 2026-11-06 01:20 UTC · config v0-default-1 · rules v0.1

v0 — weights are provisional; calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (465 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 50.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 50.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 50% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: imemetest.nearlyops.near (dev).
  • Outside buyers' net result: -2.08 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 82% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-06 01:20:19 UTC · block 223246391 · live
TransactionA4HPduFZnnfjd…QcXXV
Creatorimemetest.nearlyops.near explorer
Poolainear.nearlyops.near|imtest.nearlytrade.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-06 02:07 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-06 02:07 UTC
Price now0.89x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.81x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 2 · 0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0.0% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)50%50%50%50%50%
Dev's first sell after launch20 s20 s20 s20 s20 s
Buyers (other than the insiders)00022
Buyers spent0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR110.00 NEAR110.00 NEAR
Buyers net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR-2.08 NEAR-2.08 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)50%50%50%50%50%
Insiders' net result-0.0059 NEAR-0.0059 NEAR-0.0059 NEAR-0.0045 NEAR-0.0045 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer———1.11x1.11x
Holders11133
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.0% · holds 0.0% · holds 0.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers — — <0.01% · 2 of 2 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets0% · 2 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)100.0%100.0%100.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 2 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 scorp56.near 33.1 min · transaction 100.00 NEAR 12.8 min after buying · transaction -0.24 NEAR
2 11231rg.near 33.8 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 13.4 min after buying · transaction -1.85 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of imemetest.nearlyops.near

None known.