ja.nearlytrade.near
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 10:13 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
The largest funder's (stranger.user.intear.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.
v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (334 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 65 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T10:13 UTC with config v1-fit-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-09 10:13:21 UTC · block 223753086 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | FHPowDDwZAvdM…teEhq |
| Creator | ilikenear.near explorer |
| Pool | ja.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 42.00 NEAR |
31 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 59 | 13 of 22 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 65 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-12 20:46 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.65x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 13 of 22 · 59.1% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | <0.01% · 1 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | <0.01% · 2 of 2 hold |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 8 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 244.6 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 9 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 22 |
| Buyers spent | 24.70 NEAR | 44.34 NEAR | 53.65 NEAR | 197.88 NEAR | 198.88 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +0.81 NEAR | +0.80 NEAR | +1.75 NEAR | +15.06 NEAR | -0.09 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
| Insiders' net result | +1.96 NEAR | +2.54 NEAR | +3.90 NEAR | +11.63 NEAR | -4.71 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.11x | 1.16x | 1.16x | 1.50x | 1.50x |
| Holders | 5 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.5% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 3.8% · holds | 3.8% · holds | 4.9% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.5% · 2 of 6 hold | 0% · 0 of 6 hold | 0.1% · 1 of 8 hold |
| Other early buyers | 1.3% · 2 of 3 hold | 2.5% · 3 of 4 hold | 8.1% · 10 of 13 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 1.8% · 9 wallets | 2.5% · 10 wallets | 8.1% · 21 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 94.3% | 93.6% | 87.0% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 99.5% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged | 99.5% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 2.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 5.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.05 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 5 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 12.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.61 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 70 s after buying · transaction | +0.06 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | quick-rider-483….near | 3.4 min · transaction | 2.03 NEAR | 57 s after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR | none found |
| 8 | imgreater.near | 4.4 min · transaction | 0.49 NEAR | not sold | +0.12 NEAR | none found |
| 9 | 3024eac17eb7993…234cc | 4.7 min · transaction | 28.61 NEAR | not sold | +6.12 NEAR | none found |
| 10 | teeflux.user.in….near | 9.6 min · transaction | 4.95 NEAR | 4.9 min after buying · transaction | -0.15 NEAR | none found |
| 11 | sixways.near | 20.3 min · transaction | 1.50 NEAR | not sold | +0.29 NEAR | none found |
| 12 | rusty_drone.use….near | 23.6 min · transaction | 4.95 NEAR | not sold | +0.92 NEAR | none found |
| 13 | trader.slmm.near | 26.6 min · transaction | 2.86 NEAR | 30.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.69 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | dizzy.user.intear.near | 32.0 min · transaction | 23.76 NEAR | not sold | +3.55 NEAR | none found |
| 15 | ewedu.near | 37.7 min · transaction | 31.00 NEAR | not sold | +2.96 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | futureis.user.i….near | 41.1 min · transaction | 5.94 NEAR | not sold | +0.35 NEAR | none found |
| 17 | 1070fb609924e73…7cc3b | 42.6 min · transaction | 0.29 NEAR | not sold | +0.02 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | b8185e452876272…dff87 | 43.0 min · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.06 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | narrownook4299.near | 43.6 min · transaction | 60.00 NEAR | 13.5 min after buying · transaction | -0.99 NEAR | none found |
| 20 | toxic_sentinel.….near | 44.0 min · transaction | 20.00 NEAR | 12.7 min after buying · transaction | +0.30 NEAR |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 11:27 UTC | nearly.trade | near6.nearlytrade.near | 20 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-09-30 18:52 UTC | justhoot v1 | hon-21ef4a.launchpad.justhoot.near | 0 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |