In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.
+25
Fresh creator setup (2 of 3): it received 35.00 NEAR 4 min before the launch (largest transfer from vipont.near); the dev buy of 33.00 NEAR is 94% of that funding.
Passed the threshold at 2026-09-27 21:22:52 UTC, 3.0 min after the launch: HMtG2fCv1UqRf…DHMrp.
Outside buyers' net result: -15.05 NEAR · insiders' net result: +2.49 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 77% of its peak.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
Launch
Launched
2026-09-27 21:19:54 UTC · block 217539793 · history: launch only
buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-06 10:46 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-11-06 10:46 UTC
Price now
0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.73x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
4 of 20 · 20%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
—
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Dev's first sell after launch
3.0 min
3.0 min
3.0 min
3.0 min
3.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)
2
4
5
9
11
Buyers spent
73.51 NEAR
88.51 NEAR
128.51 NEAR
201.24 NEAR
229.22 NEAR
Buyers net result
-0.40 NEAR
-0.19 NEAR
+3.01 NEAR
+26.57 NEAR
-15.05 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Insiders' net result
+2.49 NEAR
+2.49 NEAR
+2.49 NEAR
+2.49 NEAR
+2.49 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.09x
1.09x
1.11x
1.28x
1.28x
Holders
3
5
6
13
8
Top 10 holders' share
100%
100%
100%
100.0%
100%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
—
—
—
Other early buyers
6.1% · 2 of 2 hold
7.4% · 4 of 4 hold
15.7% · 9 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
6.1% · 2 wallets
7.4% · 4 wallets
15.7% · 9 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
93.9%
92.6%
84.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
100%
100%
100.0%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
100.0% · 0 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 9 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.