moonshot.v2-launchpad.j….near justhoot v2

moonshot.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 5 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+5
The name 'moonshot' was already used 95.3 h earlier by another creator (moonshot-2.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch moonshot-2.nearly….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 45 % (643 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: +475.55 NEAR · insiders' net result: +516.04 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 44% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-11-02 13:22:57 UTC · block 222724436 · live
Transaction	HX8JpFnshwxmN…Fesiw
Creator	rootmns.near explorer
Pool	moonshot.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	138.49 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 17:46 UTC

13 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit	23	48 of 206 outside buyers
Buy pressure	0	buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak	27	the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity	0	0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-13 13:50 UTC
Price now	2.02x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.27x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	48 of 206 · 23.3%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	10.7% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 22 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	72	124	147	162	196
Buyers spent	2,791.26 NEAR	5,049.32 NEAR	6,108.42 NEAR	6,784.98 NEAR	8,614.18 NEAR
Buyers net result	+2,391.69 NEAR	+3,543.47 NEAR	+2,342.80 NEAR	+2,611.78 NEAR	+475.55 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Insiders' net result	+859.50 NEAR	+1,107.38 NEAR	+889.67 NEAR	+950.49 NEAR	+516.04 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	6.20x	7.42x	7.42x	7.42x	7.42x
Holders	61	96	106	119	97
Top 10 holders' share	66.2%	57.3%	54.2%	50.6%	53.3%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	10% · holds	10% · holds	10% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	22.3% · 18 of 22 hold	10.1% · 11 of 22 hold	6.4% · 8 of 22 hold
Other early buyers	7.1% · 6 of 8 hold	4.9% · 6 of 8 hold	4.9% · 6 of 8 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	29.4% · 30 wallets	14.9% · 30 wallets	11.3% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	60.6%	75.0%	78.7%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	66.2%	57.3%	50.6%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	69.4% · 4 merged	57.3% · 4 merged	50.6% · 3 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	8 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.3 min after buying · transaction	+3.41 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
2	dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	8 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	6.5 min after buying · transaction	+1.52 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
3	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	8 s · transaction	18.00 NEAR	98 s after buying · transaction	+2.03 NEAR	pair bought within 3.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
4	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	8 s · transaction	3.00 NEAR	48 s after buying · transaction	+0.20 NEAR	pair bought within 3.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
5	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	11 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+4.89 NEAR	pair bought within 3.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
6	humanmoth545.near	42 s · transaction	70.00 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	+280.23 NEAR	none found
7	toxic_sentinel.….near	55 s · transaction	128.70 NEAR	3.4 min after buying · transaction	+110.13 NEAR	pair bought within 47.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.7 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
8	krhuize.tg	101 s · transaction	48.26 NEAR	4.5 min after buying · transaction	+3.71 NEAR	pair bought within 6.2 s of phbo.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.8 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.5 s of toxic_sentinel.….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
9	franky.user.int….near	102 s · transaction	158.40 NEAR	4.9 min after buying · transaction	+184.82 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 7 of those launches pair bought within 9.7 s of alola.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.6 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.1 s of phbo.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	phbo.near	107 s · transaction	100.00 NEAR	84 s after buying · transaction	+57.95 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches pair bought within 4.6 s of alola.near · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 49.9 s of js1112s.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence and 12 more pairs · all pairs
11	56c9a6ef438223b….near	110 s · transaction	98.00 NEAR	3.5 min after buying · transaction	+284.32 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 21 of those launches pair bought within 1.1 s of alola.near · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.5 s of phbo.near · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.3 s of hooting.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
12	alola.near	112 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	53 s after buying · transaction	+1.76 NEAR	pair bought within 1.1 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.6 s of phbo.near · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.3 s of js1112s.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 13 more pairs · all pairs
13	hooting.near	114 s · transaction	75.00 NEAR	15.2 min after buying · transaction	+252.91 NEAR	pair bought within 2.2 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.3 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 43.2 s of js1112s.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
14	nighunter.near	119 s · transaction	100.00 NEAR	54.6 min after buying · transaction	+278.37 NEAR	pair bought within 11.7 s of phbo.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.0 s of hooting.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.1 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	stranger.user.i….near	119 s · transaction	118.80 NEAR	2.3 min after buying · transaction	+203.95 NEAR	pair bought within 7.9 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.5 s of js1112s.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.4 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
16	buyitall.near	2.1 min · transaction	140.00 NEAR	2.6 min after buying · transaction	+56.01 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches pair bought within 15.7 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.9 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.0 s of nobelieee.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
17	tech_maestro.us….near	2.1 min · transaction	9.90 NEAR	2.3 min after buying · transaction	+15.66 NEAR	none found
18	vivid-pulse-184….near	2.1 min · transaction	69.54 NEAR	2.7 min after buying · transaction	+59.96 NEAR	none found
19	thang10b.near	2.3 min · transaction	54.59 NEAR	not sold	+67.87 NEAR	none found
20	dmitry_lavryk.tg	2.3 min · transaction	17.32 NEAR	6.4 min after buying · transaction	+23.14 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of rootmns.near

None known.