morticia.v2-launchpad.j….near justhoot v2

morticia.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 5 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 43 % (787 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 6.89 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: morticiana.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-29 20:20:56 UTC, 12.5 min after the launch: Gc2LxRPXiaVSy…h4Ck1.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -6.89 NEAR · insiders' net result: +23.06 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-29 20:08:26 UTC · block 222170823 · history: launch only
TransactionAx1aQ5t9NCh9w…Lz2hh
Creatormorticiana.near explorer
Poolmorticia.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy24.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-03 21:08 UTC
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch—12.5 min12.5 min12.5 min12.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1620202020
Buyers spent123.47 NEAR130.44 NEAR130.44 NEAR130.44 NEAR130.44 NEAR
Buyers net result+9.92 NEAR-6.73 NEAR-6.86 NEAR-6.89 NEAR-6.91 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+30.68 NEAR+23.06 NEAR+23.06 NEAR+23.06 NEAR+23.06 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.21x1.21x1.21x1.21x1.21x
Holders135543
Top 10 holders' share98.0%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 2.4% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 8.2% · 12 of 15 hold 0.1% · 2 of 15 hold 0.1% · 1 of 15 hold
Other early buyers 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold 0.4% · 3 of 5 hold 0.0% · 2 of 5 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)8.5% · 16 wallets0.6% · 20 wallets0.1% · 20 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)89.1%99.4%99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)98.0%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 wrapz-z.near independent sniper 9 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 11.5 min after buying · transaction +0.34 NEAR
pair bought within 3.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
2 jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 9 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.13 NEAR
pair bought within 5.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
3 tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 9 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 60 s after buying · transaction +0.10 NEAR
pair bought within 3.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
4 cockis.near 11 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.08 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches
pair bought within 0.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.8 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
5 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper 12 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 12.4 min after buying · transaction -0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 1.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.6 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
6 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 14 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 12.3 min after buying · transaction -0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 1.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
7 dolph.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 14 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 2.6 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 5.4 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
8 5d8f34a3434e2ec…d9c57 21 s · transaction 11.54 NEAR 6.0 min after buying · transaction +1.13 NEAR
pair bought within 7.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.7 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.7 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9 teeflux.user.in….near 27 s · transaction 19.80 NEAR 11.6 min after buying · transaction +0.19 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 9.1 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
10 shortgirl.user.….near 28 s · transaction 19.80 NEAR 11.6 min after buying · transaction -1.00 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 2.3 s of fiery_spire1.us….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.4 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of teeflux.user.in….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
11 fiery_spire1.us….near 31 s · transaction 22.19 NEAR 12.8 min after buying · transaction -4.20 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
pair bought within 5.0 s of alola.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.3 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
12 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 31 s · transaction 23.02 NEAR 11.2 min after buying · transaction -0.87 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 22 of those launches
pair bought within 4.5 s of alola.near · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
13 alola.near 36 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.1 min after buying · transaction -0.20 NEAR
pair bought within 22.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 27.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
14 hmmmm.user.intear.near 49 s · transaction 9.90 NEAR 4.7 min after buying · transaction -0.25 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
pair bought within 13.1 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.0 s of rusty_bot84.use….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
15 rusty_bot84.use….near 55 s · transaction 1.96 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction -0.08 NEAR
pair bought within 6.0 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.1 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 26.5 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
16 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 3.2 min · transaction 5.77 NEAR 110 s after buying · transaction -0.33 NEAR none found
17 rusty_drone.use….near 5.1 min · transaction 4.95 NEAR 21.4 min after buying · transaction -1.23 NEAR none found
18 magaji11.near 5.3 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 10.5 min after buying · transaction -0.25 NEAR none found
19 realmrhv2.tg 9.6 min · transaction 0.50 NEAR 4.2 min after buying · transaction -0.11 NEAR none found
20 befikre.near 9.6 min · transaction 0.52 NEAR not sold -0.12 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of morticiana.near

None known.