NEAR6 nearly.trade

near6-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 23 % (1606 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Outside buyers' net result: -20.96 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.02 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 56% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-13 11:00:44 UTC · block 219807727 · history: launch only
TransactionBkwZAUSQyVsPq…mvuQK
Creatornftgokhanerbatu.near explorer
Poolnear6-2.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy1.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-22 11:26 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-22 11:26 UTC
Price now0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.56x the peak
Outside buyers in profit21 of 37 · 56.8%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 12 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)1019363637
Buyers spent73.07 NEAR168.41 NEAR516.51 NEAR536.51 NEAR566.70 NEAR
Buyers net result+3.84 NEAR+16.04 NEAR+56.42 NEAR-4.52 NEAR-20.96 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+0.13 NEAR+0.28 NEAR+0.57 NEAR+0.22 NEAR-0.02 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.12x1.26x1.74x1.74x1.74x
Holders102025144
Top 10 holders' share100%92.6%81.7%99.8%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 6.3% · 9 of 9 hold 6.6% · 11 of 12 hold 0.5% · 2 of 12 hold
Other early buyers 0.2% · 1 of 1 hold 5.2% · 7 of 7 hold 8.6% · 5 of 18 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)6.5% · 10 wallets11.8% · 19 wallets9.0% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)93.4%88.2%90.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%92.6%99.8%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 2 merged94.6% · 2 merged99.8% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 4 s · transaction 19.70 NEAR 54.5 min after buying · transaction +4.21 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches
pair bought within 1.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.6 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 101 launches together · their buy · evidence
2 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 6 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 24.0 min after buying · transaction +0.47 NEAR
pair bought within 1.5 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.0 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 31.5 s of kulesh_off.user….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
3 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 9 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR not sold +0.84 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 114 of those launches
pair bought within 3.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.6 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 101 launches together · their buy · evidence
4 kulesh_off.user….near 37 s · transaction 17.82 NEAR 7.1 min after buying · transaction +5.35 NEAR
pair bought within 31.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.8 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 56.0 s of js1112s.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
5 56c9a6ef438223b….near 91 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR 6.0 min after buying · transaction +0.25 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 21 of those launches
pair bought within 2.2 s of js1112s.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.8 s of kulesh_off.user….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
6 js1112s.near 93 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 35.6 min after buying · transaction +2.68 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 24 of those launches
pair bought within 2.2 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 56.0 s of kulesh_off.user….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
7 asteroidwallet.near 2.2 min · transaction 3.00 NEAR not sold +0.27 NEAR none found
8 ddd677c8455ff08…63c01 2.8 min · transaction 2.48 NEAR 24.0 min after buying · transaction +1.02 NEAR
pair bought within 9.5 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 alola.near 3.0 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 37.9 min after buying · transaction +0.09 NEAR
pair bought within 30.4 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.5 s of ddd677c8455ff08…63c01 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
10 hmmmm.user.intear.near 3.5 min · transaction 7.92 NEAR 23.6 min after buying · transaction +2.98 NEAR
pair bought within 30.4 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 5330416d2d20245…f7cb5 5.3 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 111 s after buying · transaction +1.63 NEAR none found
12 shikigima.near 7.8 min · transaction 20.00 NEAR 18.0 min after buying · transaction +5.86 NEAR none found
13 177d0dba946d26e….near 9.7 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 20.8 min after buying · transaction +1.58 NEAR none found
14 crying_sentinel….near 10.9 min · transaction 10.89 NEAR 15.6 min after buying · transaction +3.19 NEAR none found
15 warmcatt.near 11.4 min · transaction 7.00 NEAR 14.5 min after buying · transaction +0.33 NEAR
pair bought within 13.2 s of 4f6d6da2b2dd46d…97d2f · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 36.2 s of quick-rider-483….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 4f6d6da2b2dd46d…97d2f 11.6 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 29.0 min after buying · transaction +1.13 NEAR
pair bought within 13.2 s of warmcatt.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.0 s of quick-rider-483….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17 quick-rider-483….near 12.0 min · transaction 1.60 NEAR 15.5 min after buying · transaction +0.38 NEAR
pair bought within 23.0 s of 4f6d6da2b2dd46d…97d2f · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 36.2 s of warmcatt.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 i12345678910111…19.tg 12.3 min · transaction 0.40 NEAR 14.5 min after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR none found
19 rusty_spire.use….near 12.5 min · transaction 19.80 NEAR 23.8 min after buying · transaction +2.92 NEAR none found
20 green_santa8.us….near 15.6 min · transaction 2.28 NEAR 20.9 min after buying · transaction +0.24 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of nftgokhanerbatu.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-23 12:08 UTC nearly.trade bower.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:46 UTC nearly.trade bowtie-6.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-02 15:21 UTC justhoot v1 mert-dd7ddb.launchpad.justhoot.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-12 07:26 UTC nearly.trade bdp.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only