NEARCAT nearly.trade

nearcat-7.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (uncleboolish.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (1117 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Outside buyers' net result: +144.08 NEAR · insiders' net result: +15.63 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 55% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-14 20:11:26 UTC · block 219978051 · history: launch only
Transaction65HsXjZ2zw699…DZDpW
Creatorbethebull.near explorer
Poolnearcat-7.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy15.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 0.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-28 12:46 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-28 12:46 UTC
Price now1.49x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.41x the peak
Outside buyers in profit24 of 72 · 33.3%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account1.4% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group9.0% · 3 of 23 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)1728282867
Buyers spent266.33 NEAR390.48 NEAR390.48 NEAR390.48 NEAR1,593.91 NEAR
Buyers net result+66.08 NEAR+72.10 NEAR+71.34 NEAR+32.57 NEAR+144.08 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+8.83 NEAR+9.52 NEAR+9.47 NEAR+6.69 NEAR+15.63 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.56x1.87x1.87x1.87x3.63x
Holders1815151034
Top 10 holders' share93.0%96.0%96.0%100%75.4%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 1.4% · holds 1.4% · holds 1.4% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 16.9% · 13 of 13 hold 17.9% · 11 of 23 hold 13.2% · 7 of 23 hold
Other early buyers 3.1% · 4 of 4 hold 3.6% · 3 of 5 hold 3.1% · 2 of 5 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)20.0% · 17 wallets21.5% · 28 wallets16.4% · 28 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)78.6%77.1%82.2%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)93.0%96.0%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder99.4% · 2 merged100% · 2 merged100% · 2 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 5 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 14.5 min after buying · transaction +0.58 NEAR
pair bought within 19.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.6 s of diamondcash.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 5 s · transaction 20.73 NEAR 40.5 min after buying · transaction +10.46 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 70 launches together · their buy · evidence
3 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 24 s · transaction 2.50 NEAR not sold +0.91 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 19.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.6 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 70 launches together · their buy · evidence
4 diamondcash.near 62 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR not sold +8.26 NEAR
pair bought within 57.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
5 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 82 s · transaction 5.38 NEAR 9.0 min after buying · transaction +2.45 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
pair bought within 57.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 54.6 s of nonearforyou.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
6 klosd.near 2.3 min · transaction 40.00 NEAR not sold +9.68 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches
pair bought within 41.8 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of nonearforyou.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
7 nonearforyou.near 2.3 min · transaction 39.60 NEAR not sold +6.27 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches
pair bought within 41.1 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 54.6 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of klosd.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
8 320b3cc173d3dc0…ebea9 2.9 min · transaction 10.39 NEAR not sold +1.14 NEAR none found
9 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e 3.0 min · transaction 50.00 NEAR not sold +2.78 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
pair bought within 41.1 s of nonearforyou.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.1 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 41.8 s of klosd.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
10 alola.near 3.1 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +0.01 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 35.0 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 41.0 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.3 s of lambadaa.near · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
11 lambadaa.near 3.4 min · transaction 14.00 NEAR not sold +0.0010 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches
pair bought within 16.3 s of alola.near · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.7 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.4 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
12 d1de82541ee4575…a191b 3.7 min · transaction 1.80 NEAR 37.6 min after buying · transaction +0.07 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches
pair bought within 35.0 s of alola.near · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.7 s of lambadaa.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.1 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
13 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 3.8 min · transaction 16.00 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction +1.86 NEAR
pair bought within 41.0 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.1 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 24.8 s of lambadaa.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
14 bassoman.tg 3.9 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 42.4 min after buying · transaction +0.0083 NEAR
pair bought within 30.0 s of lambadaa.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15 1bb3b4b2aaccb43…eb91d 4.2 min · transaction 6.00 NEAR 6.4 min after buying · transaction -0.66 NEAR none found
16 baddove5186.near 4.4 min · transaction 40.00 NEAR not sold -4.15 NEAR none found
17 kulesh_off.user….near 4.5 min · transaction 6.93 NEAR 3.8 min after buying · transaction +1.04 NEAR none found
18 satirexxx.near 5.1 min · transaction 44.55 NEAR 47.2 min after buying · transaction -4.90 NEAR
pair bought within 50.9 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 51.6 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 51.6 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
19 2e6d3355d0e0fa4…ccbb1 6.0 min · transaction 6.18 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -0.10 NEAR
pair bought within 1.2 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
20 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f 6.0 min · transaction 6.18 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches
pair bought within 0.7 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of bethebull.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-25 10:49 UTC nearly.trade christmas.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-26 20:31 UTC nearly.trade nateriver.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-11-07 19:54 UTC nearly.trade encrypteth.nearlytrade.near 0 Low no rug live
2026-11-12 07:36 UTC nearly.trade bobo.nearlytrade.near 0 Low no rug live