nestocks.nearlytrade.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 10 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 34 % (724 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 80 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-23 02:45:42 UTC · block 221179108 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | AZQvzLt9LCnQT…6bVkr |
| Creator | truerat183.near explorer |
| Pool | nestocks.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 35.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 1.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00% |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-26 17:21 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-10-26 17:21 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.78x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 6 of 12 · 50% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 7 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 621.8 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| Buyers spent | 32.62 NEAR | 93.62 NEAR | 93.62 NEAR | 94.62 NEAR | 97.43 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +0.06 NEAR | +1.61 NEAR | +4.73 NEAR | +6.43 NEAR | -4.80 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +1.76 NEAR | +4.50 NEAR | +5.85 NEAR | +6.61 NEAR | -1.41 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.13x | 1.19x | 1.23x | 1.25x | 1.25x |
| Holders | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 3.2% · holds | 3.2% · holds | 3.2% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | 4.9% · 1 of 1 hold | 4.9% · 1 of 1 hold |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 2.5% · 4 of 7 hold | 2.5% · 4 of 7 hold | 2.4% · 3 of 7 hold |
| Other early buyers | — | — | 0.1% · 1 of 1 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 2.5% · 7 wallets | 7.5% · 8 wallets | 7.4% · 9 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 94.2% | 89.3% | 89.3% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 1 merged | 100% · 1 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 62 s after buying · transaction | +0.04 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 40.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.19 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 64 s after buying · transaction | +0.14 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 | 5 s · transaction | 20.12 NEAR | not sold | +2.59 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | onlyrekt.near | 6 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.21 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | 5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc | 12 s · transaction | 6.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.59 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 69 of those launches
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | narrownook4299.near | 10.0 min · transaction | 61.00 NEAR | not sold | +2.61 NEAR |
dev side received 116.25 NEAR from wiseyam6893.near (a member of the dev's linked group), 2540.1 min before its first buy · transaction
|
| 9 | igor_crypto_pilot.tg | 51.5 min · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.0100 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC | nearly.trade | rot.nearlytrade.near | 40 Elevated | no rug | live |