nightshift.nearlytrade.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 29 % (743 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 51 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-21 21:11:15 UTC · block 220998341 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | DSxXiGkMEWYqH…QxCjf |
| Creator | nearlyanonymous.near explorer |
| Pool | nightshift.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 42.51 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00% |
Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.
This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.
| Last trade | 2026-10-22 09:00 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data) |
|---|---|
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 · no trade seen in our live data |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 636.9 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 31 |
| Buyers spent | 105.45 NEAR | 105.45 NEAR | 105.45 NEAR | 526.19 NEAR | 707.92 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +2.86 NEAR | -3.37 NEAR | -3.93 NEAR | +51.02 NEAR | -42.26 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +7.32 NEAR | +3.39 NEAR | +2.79 NEAR | +26.09 NEAR | -0.45 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.29x | 1.29x | 1.29x | 1.92x | 1.96x |
| Holders | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 3.9% · holds | 3.9% · holds | 3.9% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 6.2% · 8 of 9 hold | 3.4% · 5 of 9 hold | 6.0% · 3 of 11 hold |
| Other early buyers | 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold | 0% · 0 of 1 hold | 13.2% · 8 of 14 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 6.6% · 10 wallets | 3.4% · 10 wallets | 19.2% · 25 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 89.6% | 92.8% | 76.9% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 99.9% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 2 merged | 100% · 2 merged | 99.9% · 1 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 11.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.21 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.16 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 4 s · transaction | 1.50 NEAR | 15.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.12 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 | 4 s · transaction | 19.00 NEAR | not sold | +9.81 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 5 | d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 | 25 s · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | 5.3 min after buying · transaction | -0.66 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 30 s · transaction | 24.00 NEAR | 70 s after buying · transaction | -0.48 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | beenhere.near | 38 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 16.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.25 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 32 of those launches
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | decep.near | 40 s · transaction | 20.00 NEAR | 52.6 min after buying · transaction | +4.61 NEAR |
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 31 of those launches
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | alola.near | 52 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 30.3 min after buying · transaction | -0.10 NEAR |
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | metallic_snowma….near | 3.9 min · transaction | 4.95 NEAR | 93 s after buying · transaction | -0.31 NEAR | none found |
| 11 | jnear2.near | 30.2 min · transaction | 81.00 NEAR | not sold | +28.82 NEAR | none found |
| 12 | 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba | 37.0 min · transaction | 24.75 NEAR | 88 s after buying · transaction | -1.27 NEAR | none found |
| 13 | papa7.near | 37.8 min · transaction | 3.96 NEAR | 69 s after buying · transaction | -0.38 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | narrownook4299.near | 44.5 min · transaction | 20.00 NEAR | 8.0 min after buying · transaction | +6.01 NEAR | none found |
| 15 | windjaaaaa.near | 46.2 min · transaction | 70.00 NEAR | not sold | +8.71 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | largehost1356.near | 46.5 min · transaction | 30.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.75 NEAR | none found |
| 17 | fe1ab83ada0e417…0723b | 46.5 min · transaction | 18.83 NEAR | 7.9 min after buying · transaction | +0.13 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | 7b0y.near | 46.6 min · transaction | 50.00 NEAR | 6.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.93 NEAR | |
| 19 | rekttin.near | 46.6 min · transaction | 79.68 NEAR | not sold | -2.21 NEAR | |
| 20 | gracychen11.near | 49.1 min · transaction | 24.75 NEAR | 3.8 min after buying · transaction | -1.81 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 20:55 UTC | nearly.trade | nearlyzcat.nearlytrade.near | 0 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC | nearly.trade | elonjongun.nearlytrade.near | 0 Low | no rug | live |
| 2026-11-10 12:28 UTC | nearly.trade | ki.nearlytrade.near | 0 Low | no rug | live |
| 2026-11-10 14:37 UTC | nearly.trade | nuke.nearlytrade.near | 0 Low | no rug | live |