nightwing.v2-launchpad.….near justhoot v2

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: High 65 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

• +50
  3 of the 3 earlier launches that were already decided at launch time ended as a rug (0 by the creator and 3 by accounts linked to him); smoothed rug share 68%.

  Evidence: launch clonk.nearlytrade.near, launch clankerui.nearlyt….near, launch jinxo.nearlytrade.near
• +10
  Received 42.03 NEAR 6 min before the launch from kuronai.near, whose earlier launch clonk.nearlytrade.near (made by clonkapp.near, linked to him) ended as a rug.

  Evidence: transaction EVEsxDjNE62PgcZXM…Pr9Qb, launch clonk.nearlytrade.near
• +5
  The name 'nightwing' was already used 24.1 h earlier by another creator (nightwing.nearlytrade.near).

  Evidence: launch nightwing.nearlyt….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.