nitrostack.v2-launchpad….near justhoot v2

nitrostack.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (willonnear.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 25 % (798 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 8.59 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: nitrostack.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-19 17:06:47 UTC, 2.2 min after the launch: hqf4t2NbmApJb…a9AP3.
Outside buyers' net result: -8.59 NEAR · insiders' net result: +28.59 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-19 17:04:37 UTC · block 220684815 · history: launch only
Transaction	FeP97Fjz9wA47…E7axT
Creator	nitrostack.near explorer
Pool	nitrostack.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	25.09 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:47 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-20 05:57 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	2.2 min	2.2 min	2.2 min	2.2 min	2.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	14	14	14	14	14
Buyers spent	85.68 NEAR	85.68 NEAR	85.68 NEAR	85.68 NEAR	85.68 NEAR
Buyers net result	-8.41 NEAR	-8.49 NEAR	-8.49 NEAR	-8.59 NEAR	-8.61 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+28.59 NEAR	+28.59 NEAR	+28.59 NEAR	+28.59 NEAR	+28.59 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.16x	1.16x	1.16x	1.16x	1.16x
Holders	5	4	4	1	0
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0.3% · 3 of 12 hold	0.3% · 3 of 12 hold	0.1% · 1 of 12 hold
Other early buyers	0.2% · 2 of 2 hold	0.1% · 1 of 2 hold	0% · 0 of 2 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	0.5% · 14 wallets	0.4% · 14 wallets	0.1% · 14 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	99.5%	99.6%	99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 14 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.04 NEAR	pair bought within 0.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.7 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 0.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.7 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
3	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	5 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	69 s after buying · transaction	+0.16 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.7 s of cockis.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
4	cockis.near	6 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.09 NEAR	pair bought within 0.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
5	ro52.near	6 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.81 NEAR	pair bought within 1.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
6	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	15 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	2.4 min after buying · transaction	-0.07 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches pair bought within 10.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 142 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 36.6 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
7	3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede	23 s · transaction	9.96 NEAR	2.7 min after buying · transaction	-1.18 NEAR	pair bought within 18.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 28.8 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
8	beenhere.near	39 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	55.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.29 NEAR	pair bought within 34.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.3 s of alola.near · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
9	phanbinh0297.near	46 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	115 s after buying · transaction	-0.10 NEAR	pair bought within 6.2 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.3 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 39.2 s of ro52.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
10	alola.near	52 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.15 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 46.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 46.8 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
11	p0tz.near	53 s · transaction	49.50 NEAR	89 s after buying · transaction	-4.93 NEAR	pair bought within 48.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.6 s of alola.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
12	destruktor.near	76 s · transaction	4.00 NEAR	92 s after buying · transaction	-0.71 NEAR	pair bought within 23.9 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 36.3 s of beenhere.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
13	keto2wavay.near	88 s · transaction	1.22 NEAR	29.5 min after buying · transaction	-0.27 NEAR	none found
14	cryptobullz.near	111 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.4 min after buying · transaction	-0.22 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of nitrostack.near

None known.