norbert.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 32 % (694 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 43 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-22 19:50:39 UTC · block 221136531 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | DW2jynYSUawyn…uFDt9 |
| Creator | norbertguy.near explorer |
| Pool | norbert.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 9.43 NEAR |
16 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 32 | 36 of 111 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 31 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-13 00:15 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.31x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 36 of 111 · 32.4% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | 0.4% · 795 of 816 hold |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 17 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 28 | 33 | 36 | 38 | 105 |
| Buyers spent | 323.88 NEAR | 535.48 NEAR | 641.30 NEAR | 772.56 NEAR | 2,663.13 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +26.49 NEAR | -12.01 NEAR | +10.90 NEAR | +2.13 NEAR | -107.07 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 816 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 91.5% |
| Insiders' net result | +13.66 NEAR | +11.82 NEAR | +14.57 NEAR | +15.47 NEAR | -73.92 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.64x | 1.70x | 1.70x | 1.70x | 3.18x |
| Holders | 25 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 826 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 87.5% | 90.3% | 84.9% | 92.6% | 84.7% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 1.0% · holds | 1.0% · holds | 2.1% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 13.2% · 18 of 22 hold | 4.1% · 12 of 22 hold | 5.1% · 7 of 22 hold |
| Other early buyers | 2.0% · 5 of 6 hold | 2.9% · 5 of 8 hold | 1.5% · 5 of 8 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 15.2% · 28 wallets | 7.0% · 30 wallets | 6.6% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 83.8% | 92.0% | 91.2% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 87.5% | 90.3% | 92.6% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 92.2% · 2 merged | 94.9% · 1 merged | 95.7% · 2 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 6 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 7.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.38 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.52 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 6 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 35.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.08 NEAR |
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 40.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.21 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet | 6 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 7.5 min after buying · transaction | +0.29 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 6 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 7.7 min after buying · transaction | +0.05 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | onlyrekt.near | 6 s · transaction | 1.50 NEAR | 43.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.31 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 8 | cockis.near | 7 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.39 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | alola.near | 17 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 7.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.18 NEAR |
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | teeflux.user.in….near | 21 s · transaction | 40.59 NEAR | 3.3 min after buying · transaction | +10.07 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | fiery_spire1.us….near | 24 s · transaction | 26.78 NEAR | 3.3 min after buying · transaction | +7.19 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 12 | shortgirl.user.….near | 24 s · transaction | 25.74 NEAR | 3.2 min after buying · transaction | +8.60 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 13 | hmmmm.user.intear.near | 24 s · transaction | 63.01 NEAR | 6.7 min after buying · transaction | +12.92 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 14 | phbo.near | 29 s · transaction | 6.00 NEAR | 30.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.28 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 15 | hellopeace.near | 37 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 2.7 min after buying · transaction | +1.87 NEAR | |
| 16 | bcf727798c6534c…70f7f | 40 s · transaction | 10.15 NEAR | 6.7 min after buying · transaction | -1.09 NEAR | |
| 17 | rusty_bot84.use….near | 59 s · transaction | 12.48 NEAR | 6.7 min after buying · transaction | -1.87 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 18 | sticky_virus5.u….near | 107 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 4.7 min after buying · transaction | +1.67 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | goodseven.near | 2.2 min · transaction | 60.00 NEAR | 94 s after buying · transaction | +0.12 NEAR | none found |
| 20 | rekttin.near | 2.4 min · transaction | 199.20 NEAR | 4.8 min after buying · transaction | -25.52 NEAR |
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches
|
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.