oyster.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 47 % (581 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-03 13:45:01 UTC · block 222877946 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 8iYCwMZv1zAqW…6dEnQ |
| Creator | oysterfun.near explorer |
| Pool | oyster.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|prl.omft.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.0000 NEAR |
15 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 40 | 52 of 131 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 18 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-13 01:40 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 1.55x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.18x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 52 of 131 · 39.7% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 5.3% · 1 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 2.7% · 4 of 13 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 17 | 42 | 74 | 102 | 126 |
| Buyers spent | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Insiders' net result | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.55x | 3.04x | 6.73x | 8.42x | 8.42x |
| Holders | 17 | 41 | 71 | 68 | 62 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 91.9% | 57.5% | 45.6% | 46.5% | 52.0% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 5% · holds | 5% · holds | 5.1% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 10.3% · 10 of 11 hold | 11.8% · 12 of 13 hold | 6.5% · 8 of 13 hold |
| Other early buyers | 8.0% · 6 of 6 hold | 21.2% · 17 of 17 hold | 16.0% · 12 of 17 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 18.3% · 17 wallets | 33.1% · 30 wallets | 22.5% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 76.7% | 61.9% | 72.4% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 91.9% | 57.5% | 46.5% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 91.9% · 0 merged | 57.5% · 0 merged | 46.5% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | cockis.near | 11 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 2 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper | 14 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 3.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | franky.user.int….near | 38 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 4 | badcity3381.near | 113 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 16.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 5 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer | 2.7 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 46.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | jehoti.near | 3.0 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 7 | 89a7fcf81e7a923…12d3c | 3.2 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 8 | softrat8124.near | 3.4 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 9 | cyber_blob.user….near | 3.5 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 38.7 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 10 | phbo.near | 3.6 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 16.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | heyyyyyyy.user.….near | 3.9 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | -0.0000 NEAR | |
| 12 | toxic_sentinel.….near | 4.0 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 28.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 13 | lazarus-group.near | 4.3 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 50.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | hooting.near | 4.3 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 28.5 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 15 | js1112s.near | 4.3 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 16 | ccccaaa.near | 4.5 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 28.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 17 | rusty_truth2.us….near | 4.6 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 28.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | within4d45.near | 5.0 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 21.3 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | stranger.user.i….near | 5.1 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 13.9 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 20 | happyvideo1375.near | 5.4 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 27.9 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.