pcat.nearlytrade.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 47 % (581 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-03 14:33:17 UTC · block 222883029 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 6M8dDKKMk943d…jBJ5f |
| Creator | pearlfather.near explorer |
| Pool | pcat.nearlytrade.near|prl.omft.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 3.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00% |
14 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 30 | 46 of 155 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 24 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-12 15:33 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 1.64x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.24x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 46 of 155 · 29.7% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 1.4% · 1 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 3.3% · 3 of 14 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 42 | 59 | 69 | 81 | 141 |
| Buyers spent | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Insiders' net result | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 5.02x | 6.41x | 6.41x | 6.41x | 6.78x |
| Holders | 42 | 42 | 48 | 57 | 77 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 69.3% | 63.3% | 61.2% | 58.2% | 48.0% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 1.2% · holds | 1.2% · holds | 1.2% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 17.7% · 14 of 14 hold | 8.5% · 8 of 14 hold | 9.3% · 10 of 14 hold |
| Other early buyers | 28.1% · 16 of 16 hold | 20.2% · 11 of 16 hold | 20.0% · 10 of 16 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 45.8% · 30 wallets | 28.7% · 30 wallets | 29.4% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 53.0% | 70.1% | 69.5% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 69.3% | 63.3% | 58.2% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 69.3% · 0 merged | 63.3% · 0 merged | 58.2% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 2.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 9.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 7.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | damn.user.intear.near | 17 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 6 | franky.user.int….near | 20 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 9.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | 2a7f31817cd7531…aa3ba | 34 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 6.5 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | easyharbor1249.near | 44 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 9 | heyyyyyyy.user.….near | 57 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 7.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | hmmmm.user.intear.near | 63 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 14.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 11 | rusty_bot84.use….near | 70 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 47.3 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 12 | rusty_truth2.us….near | 73 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 11.3 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 13 | bed97f5d7ab4e50…d7a44 | 79 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 6.6 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | aznom.near | 106 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 15 | getruggedagain.near | 110 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | cyber_blob.user….near | 117 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 6.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 17 | js1112s.near | 2.1 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 18 | dafodil.near | 2.2 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | toxic_sentinel.….near | 2.3 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 5.9 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | |
| 20 | calm-hawk-78.se….near bot_wallet | 2.3 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 7.8 min after buying · transaction | -0.0000 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.