QI nearly.trade

qi.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2677 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 65% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-08 09:03:50 UTC · block 219062959 · history: launch only
Transaction	9VT5j7bjRbRSB…5iowu
Creator	quickviper8793.near explorer
Pool	qi.nearlytrade.near\|qtc.omft.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-10 14:04 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-10 14:04 UTC
Price now	1.05x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.15x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	63 of 174 · 36.2%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 16 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	18	44	59	82	122
Buyers spent	0.0000 NEAR	0.0000 NEAR	0.0000 NEAR	0.0000 NEAR	0.0000 NEAR
Buyers net result	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Insiders' net result	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR	+0.0000 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.78x	3.26x	3.26x	4.67x	4.67x
Holders	19	26	42	46	44
Top 10 holders' share	81.5%	84.6%	67.9%	63.9%	71.7%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	3.2% · holds	3.2% · holds	3.2% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	15.1% · 13 of 13 hold	10.3% · 5 of 16 hold	5.9% · 3 of 16 hold
Other early buyers	7.6% · 5 of 5 hold	12.1% · 11 of 14 hold	11.8% · 9 of 14 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	22.7% · 18 wallets	22.5% · 30 wallets	17.7% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	74.1%	74.3%	79.1%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	81.5%	84.6%	63.9%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	98.6% · 2 merged	84.6% · 1 merged	63.9% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	b2a29568eb32627…0dda9	24 s · transaction	9 s after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 18.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.8 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
2	bf9c9b725df0744…ca524	24 s · transaction	9 s after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 39 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
3	2e6d3355d0e0fa4…ccbb1	24 s · transaction	9 s after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
4	57b75e37532eb09…faeea	42 s · transaction	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
5	b196fe8d7a4140c…f04ea	42 s · transaction	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 35 of those launches pair bought within 18.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 34 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
6	94feda709c301ed…63090	42 s · transaction	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.8 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
7	99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f	42 s · transaction	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 11.8 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
8	82804aad087fc31…e82f3	53 s · transaction	9.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 11.8 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.8 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.8 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
9	hybrid.user.int….near	116 s · transaction	12.7 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	none found
10	capuccino88.near	2.1 min · transaction	not sold	+0.0000 NEAR	none found
11	js1112s.near	2.2 min · transaction	not sold	+0.0000 NEAR	none found
12	e9826429e935604…ec819	3.1 min · transaction	40.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	pair bought within 45.2 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
13	lowpant8440.near	3.4 min · transaction	7.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	pair bought within 30.0 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	34a5cb274a65051…58f1e	3.5 min · transaction	40.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	none found
15	579b7294974b54d…30203	3.9 min · transaction	10.2 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches pair bought within 48.1 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.0 s of lowpant8440.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.2 s of e9826429e935604…ec819 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	guz004.near	4.1 min · transaction	9.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	none found
17	d1de82541ee4575…a191b	4.7 min · transaction	not sold	+0.0000 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches pair bought within 48.1 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.7 s of kimpet77.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.7 s of 5249d63913e1405…591d1 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	kkkkk2.near	4.7 min · transaction	not sold	+0.0000 NEAR	pair bought within 23.9 s of kimpet77.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.8 s of iagipero.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19	kimpet77.near	5.1 min · transaction	8.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	pair bought within 31.9 s of iagipero.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.1 s of 5249d63913e1405…591d1 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.7 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
20	a5e4bde4763ddfa…fe192	5.2 min · transaction	8.7 min after buying · transaction	+0.0000 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of quickviper8793.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-09-27 09:57 UTC	nearly.trade	test-7.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	nearly.trade	ni.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 15:28 UTC	nearly.trade	btc.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-08 06:44 UTC	justhoot v1	qcat-5a6099.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only