qwowl-fd4b92.launchpad.….near justhoot v1

qwowl-fd4b92.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2744 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 18.45 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: hefner27.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-09 17:27:19 UTC, 57.2 min after the launch: 5TYwv9RqEKM1C…NYGcw.
Outside buyers' net result: -18.45 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.01 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-09 16:30:07 UTC · block 219254951 · history: launch only
Transaction	7KTLegH1kDy9r…sAHmb
Creator	hefner27.near explorer
Pool	qwowl-fd4b92.launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-10 10:28 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	57.2 min	57.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	22	28	28	28	28
Buyers spent	238.27 NEAR	377.82 NEAR	377.82 NEAR	377.82 NEAR	377.82 NEAR
Buyers net result	+32.26 NEAR	-13.71 NEAR	-18.28 NEAR	-18.45 NEAR	-18.61 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	-0.0059 NEAR	-0.0059 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.42x	1.53x	1.53x	1.53x	1.53x
Holders	18	9	8	7	4
Top 10 holders' share	91.2%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	7.4% · 10 of 11 hold	4.2% · 4 of 11 hold	0.2% · 2 of 11 hold
Other early buyers	9.1% · 10 of 11 hold	0.6% · 5 of 17 hold	0.5% · 5 of 17 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	16.5% · 22 wallets	4.8% · 28 wallets	0.7% · 28 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	83.5%	95.2%	99.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	91.2%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	91.7% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	cockis.near	5 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 18.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.6 s of hooting.near · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 59.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
2	hooting.near	14 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	9.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.14 NEAR	pair bought within 10.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 97 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.6 s of cockis.near · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 58.6 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
3	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer	24 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	8.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.24 NEAR	pair bought within 18.9 s of cockis.near · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 48.2 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
4	samegrain2799.near	44 s · transaction	25.00 NEAR	7.0 min after buying · transaction	+6.76 NEAR	pair bought within 28.8 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	volat.near	55 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	4.3 min after buying · transaction	+2.81 NEAR	pair bought within 17.2 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.8 s of rekttin.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
6	80289da0a50f047…d6989	60 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	52 s after buying · transaction	+0.59 NEAR	pair bought within 12.6 s of alola.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
7	rekttin.near	63 s · transaction	50.00 NEAR	14.7 min after buying · transaction	-5.05 NEAR	pair bought within 9.4 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.7 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
8	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	65 s · transaction	12.50 NEAR	8.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.81 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 7.7 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 50.9 s of hooting.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
9	alola.near	72 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	29.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.18 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 48.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.7 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 58.6 s of hooting.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10	igor_ua5.near	76 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.16 NEAR	pair bought within 11.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 51.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	crynux.user.int….near	83 s · transaction	4.95 NEAR	6.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.74 NEAR	none found
12	green_santa8.us….near	84 s · transaction	0.40 NEAR	6.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	none found
13	batwomanear.near	85 s · transaction	9.00 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	+1.73 NEAR	none found
14	indix.near	112 s · transaction	9.00 NEAR	2.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.72 NEAR	none found
15	hmmmm.user.intear.near	2.1 min · transaction	5.94 NEAR	6.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.27 NEAR	pair bought within 53.1 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	ex3dex.tg	2.2 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.39 NEAR	none found
17	xabefe.near	2.4 min · transaction	10.50 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.99 NEAR	none found
18	de8a9ccc3e8cbb1….near	2.8 min · transaction	58.00 NEAR	6.7 min after buying · transaction	-5.23 NEAR	none found
19	pictureperfect.near	2.9 min · transaction	7.00 NEAR	4.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.24 NEAR	none found
20	guz004.near	3.8 min · transaction	27.00 NEAR	99 s after buying · transaction	-3.04 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of hefner27.near

None known.