RHEALIENS nearly.trade

rhealiens.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (c87b4352db8c1fc31bd771c917b8246c65a5b4ee2954f9f891f7a30a14ca949e) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 16 % (1124 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -9.84 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 60% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-09-29 15:59:37 UTC · block 217798006 · history: launch only
Transaction	EcqPakNPuWwJG…wCknV
Creator	hotito.near explorer
Pool	rhealiens.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	43.37 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-09-29 16:24 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	20	25	25	25	25
Buyers spent	339.30 NEAR	563.25 NEAR	563.25 NEAR	563.25 NEAR	563.25 NEAR
Buyers net result	+9.20 NEAR	-9.45 NEAR	-9.84 NEAR	-9.84 NEAR	-9.84 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.66x	1.66x	1.66x	1.66x	1.66x
Holders	13	6	4	4	4
Top 10 holders' share	98.9%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	10.1% · 9 of 18 hold	0.5% · 1 of 18 hold	0% · 0 of 18 hold
Other early buyers	0.3% · 2 of 2 hold	0.1% · 1 of 7 hold	0% · 0 of 7 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	10.3% · 20 wallets	0.6% · 25 wallets	0% · 25 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	89.6%	99.4%	100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	98.9%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 4 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	e8a162641a55288…58210	41 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	3.5 min after buying · transaction	+1.33 NEAR	pair bought within 21.9 s of snuffdog.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.3 s of lorenzo18.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.9 s of syndi95.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
2	ebisidiaidi.near	56 s · transaction	100.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+19.61 NEAR	pair bought within 40.9 s of lorenzo18.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.5 s of syndi95.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 50.4 s of supremegay.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
3	snuffdog.near	63 s · transaction	9.92 NEAR	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+1.39 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 21.9 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.4 s of lorenzo18.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.0 s of syndi95.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
4	lorenzo18.near	97 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	8.8 min after buying · transaction	+3.37 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches pair bought within 56.2 s of meteorrrr.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.5 s of supremegay.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.4 s of snuffdog.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
5	syndi95.near	98 s · transaction	19.84 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+2.65 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 7.9 s of supremegay.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.6 s of sessssssssss.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 52.9 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6	supremegay.near	106 s · transaction	39.68 NEAR	8.3 min after buying · transaction	+6.30 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 49 of those launches pair bought within 7.9 s of syndi95.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.0 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
7	sessssssssss.near	111 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	2.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.50 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 66 of those launches pair bought within 40.3 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of supremegay.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.5 s of e53f4e2dade71ca…cd5f7 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
8	d1de82541ee4575…a191b	111 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	11.6 min after buying · transaction	-0.07 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches pair bought within 40.3 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of sessssssssss.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.5 s of e53f4e2dade71ca…cd5f7 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9	gusri.near	116 s · transaction	14.88 NEAR	2.5 min after buying · transaction	-2.62 NEAR	pair bought within 4.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.4 s of supremegay.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.3 s of 1122233413123.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
10	e53f4e2dade71ca…cd5f7	2.1 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	111 s after buying · transaction	+0.11 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches pair bought within 23.8 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.5 s of sessssssssss.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.5 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
11	1122233413123.near	2.4 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	116 s after buying · transaction	-5.38 NEAR	pair bought within 35.0 s of sessssssssss.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.3 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.3 s of gusri.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
12	579b7294974b54d…30203	2.5 min · transaction	8.00 NEAR	114 s after buying · transaction	-1.16 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches pair bought within 23.8 s of e53f4e2dade71ca…cd5f7 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.3 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 28.2 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
13	meteorrrr.near	2.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	7.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.86 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches pair bought within 14.5 s of louduser4868.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.2 s of lorenzo18.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 26.4 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
14	louduser4868.near	2.8 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	7.5 min after buying · transaction	-0.51 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 14.5 s of meteorrrr.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.9 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.2 s of office57.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
15	974f647f7d706ac…04a90	2.8 min · transaction	1.98 NEAR	7.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.24 NEAR	none found
16	luckyfrog8326.near	3.0 min · transaction	75.00 NEAR	49 s after buying · transaction	+4.83 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 7 of those launches pair bought within 28.2 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.9 s of louduser4868.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 26.4 s of meteorrrr.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
17	5249d63913e1405…591d1	3.3 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	56 s after buying · transaction	-4.04 NEAR	pair bought within 28.2 s of louduser4868.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 44.4 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.6 s of meteorrrr.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	office57.near	3.3 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	7.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.81 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches pair bought within 31.2 s of louduser4868.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.7 s of meteorrrr.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 19.3 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
19	panjipetualang.near	3.3 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	45 s after buying · transaction	-0.42 NEAR	pair bought within 48.7 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 32.4 s of louduser4868.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.5 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
20	thickoasis3654.near	4.4 min · transaction	2.50 NEAR	7.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.28 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of hotito.near

None known.