SINU nearly.trade

sinu.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 5 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 19:02 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+5
The name 'sinu' was already used 29 min earlier by another creator (sinu.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near).
Evidence: launch sinu.v2-launchpad….near

The creator's history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (301 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 5.94 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: 1346.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-11-09 19:23:24 UTC, 21.4 min after the launch: 3cHxhWQ8j42Xe…aG8aM.
Outside buyers' net result: -5.94 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.47 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T19:02 UTC with config v1-fit-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-11-09 19:01:58 UTC · block 223807461 · live
Transaction	5giQSGqoBr22b…wz9LR
Creator	1346.near explorer
Pool	sinu.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	2.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 15:49 UTC

21 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit	44	24 of 54 outside buyers
Buy pressure	0	buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak	41	the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity	0	0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-13 04:45 UTC
Price now	1.30x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.41x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	24 of 54 · 44.4%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 18 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	21.4 min	21.4 min	21.4 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	18	36	36	36	53
Buyers spent	497.44 NEAR	925.69 NEAR	925.69 NEAR	925.69 NEAR	1,796.01 NEAR
Buyers net result	+189.31 NEAR	+33.37 NEAR	-3.92 NEAR	-5.94 NEAR	+126.38 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+2.10 NEAR	+1.03 NEAR	+0.47 NEAR	+0.47 NEAR	+0.47 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	2.08x	3.16x	3.16x	3.16x	3.16x
Holders	14	17	10	9	14
Top 10 holders' share	98.9%	98.6%	100%	100%	97.6%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0.2% · holds	0.2% · holds	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	18.4% · 10 of 15 hold	2.2% · 8 of 17 hold	0.6% · 3 of 17 hold
Other early buyers	12.0% · 3 of 3 hold	15.0% · 5 of 13 hold	8.9% · 4 of 13 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	30.4% · 18 wallets	17.3% · 30 wallets	9.5% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	69.4%	82.5%	90.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	98.9%	98.6%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	99.2% · 1 merged	98.6% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.12 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
2	yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	9.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.27 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.2 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
3	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	19.8 min after buying · transaction	+2.24 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
4	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	21.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.21 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
5	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	40.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.15 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
6	dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.10 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
7	s3m0n.tg	32 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	4.8 min after buying · transaction	+5.02 NEAR	pair bought within 17.7 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	40 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.55 NEAR	pair bought within 37.2 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.2 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
9	alola.near	50 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	4.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.84 NEAR	pair bought within 47.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10	3024eac17eb7993…234cc	117 s · transaction	55.31 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	+31.54 NEAR	pair bought within 29.8 s of js1112s.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	js1112s.near	2.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	19.4 min after buying · transaction	+1.08 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 24 of those launches pair bought within 42.8 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.8 s of 3024eac17eb7993…234cc · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	ixslot1.nearlyops.near	3.0 min · transaction	110.00 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+10.99 NEAR	none found
13	56c9a6ef438223b….near	3.2 min · transaction	241.00 NEAR	4.9 min after buying · transaction	+113.21 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 21 of those launches pair bought within 42.8 s of js1112s.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.9 s of darkoasis5043.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 43.7 s of buyitall.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
14	largehost1356.near	3.3 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	not sold	-2.16 NEAR	pair bought within 6.5 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	darkoasis5043.near	3.6 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	71 s after buying · transaction	+2.27 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 25.9 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.7 s of buyitall.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	98a587a6d9d71e6…578e1	3.9 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	+2.57 NEAR	pair bought within 43.2 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of buyitall.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	buyitall.near	3.9 min · transaction	40.00 NEAR	47 s after buying · transaction	+7.84 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches pair bought within 43.7 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.7 s of darkoasis5043.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of 98a587a6d9d71e6…578e1 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	cyber_blob.user….near	4.1 min · transaction	47.28 NEAR	4.3 min after buying · transaction	-3.51 NEAR	none found
19	poliag.near	5.2 min · transaction	4.00 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	-1.10 NEAR	none found
20	96952333f9d9862…d9f77	5.2 min · transaction	4.15 NEAR	2.8 min after buying · transaction	+1.32 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 1346.near

None known.