und.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Risk score: Low 25 / 100 issued 2026-11-07 19:59 UTC · config v0-default-1 · rules v0.1
v0 — weights are provisional; calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 34 % (398 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 81 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T19:59 UTC with config v1-fit-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-07 19:59:19 UTC · block 223512482 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | Gbe5gCJr77W5b…osvy6 |
| Creator | xtrmapl.near explorer |
| Pool | und.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.76 NEAR |
27 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 27 | 3 of 11 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 81 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-13 12:09 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.81x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 3 of 11 · 27.3% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 8 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 166.8 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Buyers spent | 151.03 NEAR | 151.03 NEAR | 151.03 NEAR | 151.03 NEAR | 151.03 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +14.31 NEAR | +10.45 NEAR | +10.45 NEAR | +8.39 NEAR | -5.58 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +0.95 NEAR | +0.93 NEAR | +0.93 NEAR | +0.92 NEAR | +0.81 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.22x | 1.22x | 1.22x | 1.22x | 1.22x |
| Holders | 11 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 99.9% | 100% | 100% | 100% | — |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0.1% · holds | 0.1% · holds | 0.1% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 9.4% · 8 of 8 hold | 9.1% · 7 of 8 hold | 8.4% · 4 of 8 hold |
| Other early buyers | 0.1% · 2 of 2 hold | 0.1% · 2 of 2 hold | 0.1% · 2 of 2 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 9.5% · 10 wallets | 9.2% · 10 wallets | 8.5% · 10 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 90.4% | 90.8% | 91.5% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 99.9% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 99.9% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | cockis.near | 10 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.17 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 2 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 10 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 11.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.83 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 13 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 40.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.15 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 19 s · transaction | 72.00 NEAR | not sold | +7.31 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 5 | franky.user.int….near | 33 s · transaction | 49.50 NEAR | not sold | +0.74 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | frozen_sentinel….near | 59 s · transaction | 1.43 NEAR | not sold | -0.03 NEAR | none found |
| 7 | dogers8.tg | 2.4 min · transaction | 0.20 NEAR | not sold | -0.0039 NEAR | none found |
| 8 | jacobfx.near | 2.8 min · transaction | 9.90 NEAR | 45.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.35 NEAR | |
| 9 | phbo.near | 2.8 min · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.38 NEAR | |
| 10 | alola.near | 3.0 min · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 30.2 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 22:48 UTC | justhoot v2 | alexchad.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near | 10 Low | no rug | live |