VPINE nearly.trade

vpine.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 issued 2026-11-13 12:07 UTC · config v2l-1 · rules v1.3

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The creator's history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v2r signals (weights fitted on launch history before the split date), two expert rules whose points are set by hand (a creator name that resembles a notable account; a fresh account funded through Intents or an exchange) and the creator's fee, whose points are an expert rule too: 8 points per 1 % of the trade that goes to the creator, at most 40 (not fitted). The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 19 % (259 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Pending. Decided from the T+60 min snapshot, and from the T+24 h snapshot when the first one shows no rug.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Outside buyers' net result: -0.35 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-13T13:07 UTC with config v2l-1; not final until T+24 h.

Launch

Launched	2026-11-13 12:07:10 UTC · block 224361215 · live
Transaction	2RbCSPRxsosSr…wuVKo
Creator	110469e154a82a87e7e7416c0d6886d55ce5c58533d247dc28799cddff003770 explorer
Pool	vpine.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 15:50 UTC

32 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit	33	3 of 9 outside buyers
Buy pressure	0	buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak	95	the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity	0	0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-13 12:37 UTC
Price now	0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.95x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	3 of 9 · 33.3%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 9 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	9	9	9	9
Buyers spent	17.50 NEAR	17.50 NEAR	17.50 NEAR	17.50 NEAR
Buyers net result	-0.28 NEAR	-0.34 NEAR	-0.34 NEAR	-0.35 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.03x	1.03x	1.03x	1.03x
Holders	4	1	1	0
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0.4% · 5 of 9 hold	0.1% · 1 of 9 hold	0% · 0 of 9 hold
Other early buyers	—	—	—
All early buyers (the six rows above)	0.4% · 9 wallets	0.1% · 9 wallets	0% · 9 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	99.6%	99.9%	100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	—
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged	—

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 9 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0078 NEAR	pair bought within 0.6 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
2	yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.0070 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
3	wild-owl-68.sen….near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	10.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of yazaplakal.send….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
4	jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0049 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
5	trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0049 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
6	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
7	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
8	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.24 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
9	alola.near	13 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.05 NEAR	pair bought within 9.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 110469e154a82a87e7e74…03770

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-11-13 12:14 UTC	nearly.trade	ambfj.nearlytrade.near	0 Low	rug	live