BATMAN nearly.trade

batman-13.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 3.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 20.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 300, creator_bps 2000).
Evidence: launch batman-13.nearlyt….near
+5
The name 'batman' was already used 54.2 h earlier by another creator (batman-11.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch batman-11.nearlyt….near

The largest funder's (ayrefe.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 21 % (1964 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. outside buyers' net result +168.86 NEAR, short of the 0.1 NEAR loss a rug needs; the price held at 21 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 191.8% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: batmanon.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-02 20:36:08 UTC, 1336.2 min after the launch: GUFUiCEpQCr2Z…aPgqD.
Outside buyers' net result: -300.79 NEAR · insiders' net result: +106.31 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 21% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-01 22:19:54 UTC · block 218116669 · history: launch only
Transaction	5kMcA3mBnKGeP…TUWaZ
Creator	batmanon.near explorer
Pool	batman-13.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	43.37 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 20.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:42 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-23 23:46 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
Price now	0.94x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.15x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	43 of 157 · 27.4%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 3 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	95.7%	94.4%	191.8%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	9.2 min	9.2 min	9.2 min	9.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	0	0	2	15	152
Buyers spent	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	132.00 NEAR	476.45 NEAR	5,399.11 NEAR
Buyers net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	+9.38 NEAR	+168.86 NEAR	-300.79 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	95.7%	94.4%	191.8%
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	+40.10 NEAR	-2.49 NEAR	-0.70 NEAR	+106.31 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	—	—	1.17x	1.90x	6.20x
Holders	1	0	3	17	57
Top 10 holders' share	100%	—	100%	95.3%	71.3%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0.2% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	—	—	2.8% · 3 of 3 hold
Other early buyers	—	—	25.3% · 11 of 12 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	0% · 0 wallets	0% · 0 wallets	28.1% · 15 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	100%	100%	71.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	—	95.3%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 0 merged	—	95.3% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 15 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	ayrefe.near	24.3 min · transaction	74.00 NEAR	not sold	+48.97 NEAR	none found
2	capone100x.near	26.4 min · transaction	84.00 NEAR	not sold	+54.26 NEAR	none found
3	huged1ck.near	31.6 min · transaction	48.00 NEAR	not sold	+23.37 NEAR	none found
4	zagros1.near	32.7 min · transaction	48.00 NEAR	not sold	+18.59 NEAR	none found
5	lambadaa.near	32.9 min · transaction	54.00 NEAR	4.5 min after buying · transaction	+3.23 NEAR	pair bought within 11.0 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.1 s of locnload.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
6	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	33.0 min · transaction	7.00 NEAR	not sold	+2.18 NEAR	pair bought within 11.0 s of lambadaa.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
7	locnload.near	33.4 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	106 s after buying · transaction	-0.28 NEAR	pair bought within 30.1 s of lambadaa.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	lateharbor6979.near	35.8 min · transaction	27.00 NEAR	not sold	+7.46 NEAR	none found
9	freshuser3857.near	37.0 min · transaction	4.00 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.27 NEAR	none found
10	d0tz.near	41.7 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	not sold	+8.91 NEAR	none found
11	fd45b6de05c0a80…1ff4e	42.1 min · transaction	8.50 NEAR	not sold	+1.05 NEAR	none found
12	iagipero.near	43.1 min · transaction	30.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.77 NEAR	none found
13	tightcity5789.near	57.2 min · transaction	22.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.62 NEAR	none found
14	e61312b0b15a928…26dd1	59.4 min · transaction	4.95 NEAR	not sold	+0.01 NEAR	none found
15	sharpdegen.near	59.4 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.02 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of batmanon.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-01 22:06 UTC	nearly.trade	batman-12.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only