BATMAN nearly.trade

batman-9.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch batman-9.nearlytr….near
  • +5
    The name 'batman' was already used 4.3 h earlier by another creator (batman-8.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch batman-8.nearlytr….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 1 % (155 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. no outside buyers; no outside buyers.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: e24f1d9e2d3d08ca1699d…5f27c (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-27 22:31:03 UTC, 61.6 min after the launch: 4YThrbhTakoXn…ukBjk.
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.01 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 98% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-27 21:29:29 UTC · block 217540760 · history: launch only
Transaction8oFrYDehqV3Yn…Gznc7
Creatore24f1d9e2d3d08ca1699db31ea2023b40339c099d0d2cf3c5244284f2585f27c explorer
Poolbatman-9.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy0.20 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-27 22:31 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Dev's first sell after launch————61.6 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)00000
Buyers spent0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Buyers net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Insiders' net result-0.0020 NEAR-0.0020 NEAR-0.0020 NEAR-0.0020 NEAR-0.0079 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer—————
Holders22221
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.0% · holds 0.0% · holds 0.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)100.0%100.0%100.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Other launches of e24f1d9e2d3d08ca1699d…5f27c

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-27 12:49 UTC nearly.trade batman-7.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only