BLACKPEARL nearly.trade

blackpearl.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Elevated 45 / 100 issued 2026-11-10 14:00 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +25
    Fresh creator setup (2 of 3): the creator account was created 9 min before the launch; it received 77.28 NEAR 9 min before the launch (largest transfer from 1e6ef8464ce09f96c6fc22583ead00fa0b65119128daa9732366d2a2e856e960).
    Evidence: transaction 6UtwEwBrbmNtKM946…UnDYN, transaction DVuvkdandRmULXgkY…PRPvb
  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 40.00% cut the creator gets 30.00% of it (0.300% per buy, 0.300% per sell; creator_bps 5000, platform_bps 4000).
    Evidence: launch blackpearl.nearly….near

The largest funder's (1e6ef8464ce09f96c6fc22583ead00fa0b65119128daa9732366d2a2e856e960) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 36 % (260 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 44 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: jacksparr0w.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-11-10 15:23:20 UTC, 82.5 min after the launch: CTfbhwEPHkmgX…rcfbz.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 44% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-11T14:00 UTC with config v1-fit-1.

Launch

Launched2026-11-10 14:00:48 UTC · block 223925746 · live
TransactionFF6LoSCbX63er…zwQYA
Creatorjacksparr0w.near explorer
Poolblackpearl.nearlytrade.near|prl.omft.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-12 06:15 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-12 06:15 UTC
Price now0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.42x the peak
Outside buyers in profit14 of 33 · 42.4%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group<0.01% · 1 of 18 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Dev's first sell after launch————82.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1030313233
Buyers spent0.0000 NEAR0.0000 NEAR0.0000 NEAR0.0000 NEAR0.0000 NEAR
Buyers net result+0.0000 NEAR+0.0000 NEAR+0.0000 NEAR-0.0000 NEAR-0.0000 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%100%
Insiders' net result+0.0000 NEAR+0.0000 NEAR+0.0000 NEAR+0.0000 NEAR-0.0000 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.25x2.35x2.35x2.35x2.35x
Holders7151394
Top 10 holders' share100%98.2%99.9%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 6.0% · holds 6.0% · holds 6.8% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 4.6% · 6 of 10 hold 3.5% · 4 of 18 hold <0.01% · 1 of 18 hold
Other early buyers — 10.8% · 10 of 12 hold 8.3% · 5 of 12 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)4.6% · 10 wallets14.3% · 30 wallets8.3% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)89.3%79.6%85.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%98.2%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged98.2% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 4.3 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
2 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 8.4 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
3 trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
4 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
5 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
6 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 3 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction -0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
7 hooting.near 41 s · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 6.5 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 38.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 97 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.2 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
8 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 4.2 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 4.2 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 55.0 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.1 s of 748545ba09e20b4…50999 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.3 s of 1070fb609924e73…7cc3b · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 1070fb609924e73…7cc3b 4.4 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 4.4 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 16.3 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.8 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
10 748545ba09e20b4…50999 4.8 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 3.7 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
pair bought within 20.0 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.1 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 45.2 s of 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 5.1 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 55.0 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 25.2 s of 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 20.0 s of 748545ba09e20b4…50999 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
12 d210db37a5443bc…22e59 5.2 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 2.8 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR none found
13 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 5.5 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 3.5 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 25.2 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 45.2 s of 748545ba09e20b4…50999 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
14 trader.slmm.near 5.8 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR not sold -0.0000 NEAR none found
15 fbd847915e19a7e….near 5.9 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 10.3 min after buying · transaction -0.0000 NEAR none found
16 unlucky_gpu.use….near 6.0 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 9.8 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR none found
17 rekttin.near 6.0 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 2.3 min after buying · transaction -0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 58.8 s of phbo.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 971954101d94136…39fda 6.1 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 34.0 min after buying · transaction -0.0000 NEAR none found
19 nighunter.near 6.4 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR 32.4 min after buying · transaction -0.0000 NEAR
pair bought within 34.7 s of phbo.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
20 d9fc0aa607fcbba…42ea2 6.4 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR not sold -0.0000 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of jacksparr0w.near

None known.