BOB nearly.trade

bob-3.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 5 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+5
The name 'bob' was already used 19 min earlier by another creator (bob-2.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch bob-2.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (423df0a6640e9467769c55a573f15b9ee999dc8970048959c72890abf5cc3a8e) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2592 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; the price held at 81 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: 07c4f546ac45df725e174…72216 (dev).
Outside buyers' net result: -2.31 NEAR · insiders' net result: +15.63 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 81% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-06 18:14:50 UTC · block 218826283 · history: launch only
Transaction	ConEjMsGPomSN…ueHMS
Creator	launchbot.nearlytrade.near explorer
Owner (paid the launch bot)	07c4f546ac45df725e1742d0afb3ceea3909f19e9dc3d945ba4357276dc72216 evidence: 2C3dN6uAp2uw1H6FsTmYARAv1pFrN6N1JHJ5Qv8K5VzV
Pool	bob-3.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	18.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-07 08:53 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	878.8 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	10	11	12	12	12
Buyers spent	98.37 NEAR	100.37 NEAR	120.37 NEAR	120.37 NEAR	120.37 NEAR
Buyers net result	-1.87 NEAR	-1.91 NEAR	-1.88 NEAR	-2.31 NEAR	-2.31 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	+15.63 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.19x	1.19x	1.19x	1.19x	1.19x
Holders	2	2	3	4	4
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0.1% · 1 of 10 hold	0.1% · 1 of 10 hold	0% · 0 of 10 hold
Other early buyers	—	0% · 0 of 1 hold	0% · 0 of 2 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	0.1% · 10 wallets	0.1% · 11 wallets	0% · 12 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	99.9%	99.9%	100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 12 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	26 s · transaction	2.50 NEAR	2.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.04 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches pair bought within 19.5 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.9 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.6 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
2	b196fe8d7a4140c…f04ea	34 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	+1.04 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 35 of those launches pair bought within 1.3 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 34 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
3	bf9c9b725df0744…ca524	34 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	+0.77 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 39 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
4	99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f	34 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	+0.28 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
5	82804aad087fc31…e82f3	34 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	+0.40 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6	57b75e37532eb09…faeea	34 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	+0.16 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.6 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7	94feda709c301ed…63090	35 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	-0.18 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.6 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
8	b2a29568eb32627…0dda9	36 s · transaction	7.84 NEAR	42 s after buying · transaction	+0.42 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 1.3 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.3 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
9	4fff4175970134e…82fa3	41 s · transaction	40.00 NEAR	88 s after buying · transaction	-4.55 NEAR	pair bought within 3.8 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.7 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.8 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	alola.near	45 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.15 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 19.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.7 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.3 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
11	godmeme.near	5.3 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	20 s after buying · transaction	-0.04 NEAR	none found
12	b7a6f2600a5c7b3…6f497	17.3 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	15.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.43 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 07c4f546ac45df725e174…72216

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-09-23 10:20 UTC	nearly.trade	nearchan.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-23 10:23 UTC	nearly.trade	zcat.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 09:09 UTC	nearly.trade	zolanear.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 09:42 UTC	nearly.trade	nillions.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 09:47 UTC	nearly.trade	nearlyons.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 10:11 UTC	nearly.trade	nearvidia.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 19:28 UTC	nearly.trade	printerly.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-27 21:13 UTC	nearly.trade	eelya.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-28 14:04 UTC	nearly.trade	olivine-8.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-30 13:31 UTC	justhoot v1	hcat-b0c3f1.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-30 13:31 UTC	justhoot v1	hi-99254f.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:11 UTC	justhoot v1	hootcoin-1dffd5.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-01 17:32 UTC	nearly.trade	bdiarhea-3.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-01 17:37 UTC	nearly.trade	bacterhea.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-02 15:25 UTC	nearly.trade	dinu-2.nearlytrade.near	5 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-02 15:25 UTC	nearly.trade	dinu-3.nearlytrade.near	5 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-07 22:49 UTC	nearly.trade	qcat-2.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-08 06:57 UTC	nearly.trade	qtcmania.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	nearly.trade	qday-3.nearlytrade.near	5 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-15 16:17 UTC	nearly.trade	pearl.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-16 07:18 UTC	justhoot v1	tree-d7b13b.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-16 18:08 UTC	justhoot v1	ghoot-e70ec8.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only