BRETT nearly.trade

brett-3.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 3.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 80.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 300, creator_bps 8000).
    Evidence: launch brett-3.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'brett' was already used 1 min earlier by another creator (brett-2.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch brett-2.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (brettnear.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 29 % (749 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 12.21 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: brettdev.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-21 19:11:54 UTC, 11.8 min after the launch: 38xJgAqsAHvX4…YKAYP.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -12.21 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.30 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-21 19:00:06 UTC · block 220985014 · history: launch only
Transaction7fw5J7bCczakX…cyBUV
Creatorbrettdev.near explorer
Poolbrett-3.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy32.50 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 80.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-22 17:18 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-22 17:18 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.79x the peak
Outside buyers in profit5 of 22 · 22.7%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch—11.8 min11.8 min11.8 min11.8 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1721222222
Buyers spent180.08 NEAR200.99 NEAR201.89 NEAR201.89 NEAR201.89 NEAR
Buyers net result-2.79 NEAR-11.75 NEAR-11.83 NEAR-12.21 NEAR-12.31 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+4.77 NEAR-0.30 NEAR-0.30 NEAR-0.30 NEAR-0.30 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.25x1.25x1.25x1.25x1.25x
Holders134542
Top 10 holders' share96.3%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 3.0% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 2.2% · 7 of 11 hold <0.01% · 1 of 11 hold 0% · 0 of 11 hold
Other early buyers 3.3% · 6 of 6 hold 0.7% · 3 of 10 hold 0.2% · 3 of 11 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)5.5% · 17 wallets0.7% · 21 wallets0.2% · 22 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)91.5%99.3%99.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)96.3%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder96.3% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction +0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.9 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2 bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction +0.27 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 110 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 85 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
3 ro52.near 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 9.3 min after buying · transaction +0.13 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
4 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 85 s after buying · transaction +0.16 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of ro52.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
5 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 3.1 min after buying · transaction +0.04 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of ro52.near · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
6 567e43c697f4113…84e34 8 s · transaction 100.00 NEAR 62 s after buying · transaction -4.55 NEAR
pair bought within 5.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 25 s · transaction 1.50 NEAR 9.9 min after buying · transaction -0.15 NEAR
pair bought within 21.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 142 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.9 s of ro52.near · 96 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
8 sotoquispe.near 80 s · transaction 18.91 NEAR 4.6 min after buying · transaction -0.12 NEAR none found
9 alola.near 89 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.3 min after buying · transaction -0.22 NEAR none found
10 r3ndaik.tg 107 s · transaction 1.50 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction -0.18 NEAR none found
11 joeyhbar.near 2.0 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 11.0 min after buying · transaction -2.15 NEAR none found
12 fiery_spire1.us….near 2.7 min · transaction 8.34 NEAR 2.7 min after buying · transaction -0.24 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
pair bought within 10.9 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
13 shortgirl.user.….near 2.9 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 119 s after buying · transaction -0.35 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 10.9 s of fiery_spire1.us….near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 52.1 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.7 s of rusty_bot84.use….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
14 ixslot1.nearlyops.near 3.1 min · transaction 4.05 NEAR 6.4 min after buying · transaction -0.46 NEAR none found
15 hmmmm.user.intear.near 3.8 min · transaction 4.95 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction -0.45 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
pair bought within 5.5 s of rusty_bot84.use….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 52.1 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 rusty_bot84.use….near 3.9 min · transaction 4.94 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction -0.52 NEAR
pair bought within 5.5 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.7 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17 51206134269a0d4….near 3.9 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 3.3 min after buying · transaction -0.54 NEAR none found
18 dotman1.near 5.1 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 8.8 min after buying · transaction -1.00 NEAR none found
19 pn193014.tg 6.6 min · transaction 2.00 NEAR not sold -0.29 NEAR none found
20 jacobfx.near 8.3 min · transaction 8.91 NEAR 4.5 min after buying · transaction -1.24 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of brettdev.near

None known.