CLEARLINE nearly.trade

clearline.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 3300).

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (801 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 19.74 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: clearline.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-28 16:25:47 UTC, 31.5 min after the launch: J59VaNtWpbjPR…MHQ6D.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -19.74 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.33 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-28 15:54:15 UTC · block 221996744 · history: launch only
TransactionAubi43vtBDMnG…uFW3C
Creatorclearline.near explorer
Poolclearline.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy23.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-30 02:42 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-30 02:42 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.54x the peak
Outside buyers in profit7 of 24 · 29.2%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 22 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch———31.5 min31.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)2223232323
Buyers spent293.18 NEAR339.18 NEAR354.18 NEAR354.18 NEAR354.18 NEAR
Buyers net result+59.87 NEAR+88.94 NEAR-17.76 NEAR-19.74 NEAR-19.75 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%100%100%
Insiders' net result+12.60 NEAR+15.59 NEAR+0.65 NEAR-0.33 NEAR-0.33 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.66x1.77x1.81x1.81x1.81x
Holders2223510
Top 10 holders' share82.6%82.5%100%100%—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 2.1% · holds 2.1% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 20.3% · 21 of 22 hold 22.6% · 21 of 22 hold 0.1% · 1 of 22 hold
Other early buyers — 0.2% · 1 of 1 hold 0% · 0 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)20.3% · 22 wallets22.9% · 23 wallets0.1% · 23 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)77.6%75.0%99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)82.6%82.5%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged100.0% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 22.6 min after buying · transaction +0.67 NEAR
2 tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 28.6 min after buying · transaction +0.04 NEAR
3 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 28.6 min after buying · transaction +0.13 NEAR
4 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 31.6 min after buying · transaction -0.05 NEAR
5 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 31.5 min after buying · transaction -0.05 NEAR
6 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 2.3 min after buying · transaction +0.18 NEAR
7 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 5 s · transaction 21.68 NEAR 31.5 min after buying · transaction -2.00 NEAR
8 flatbat5958.near 25 s · transaction 34.00 NEAR 28.2 min after buying · transaction +6.81 NEAR
9 finequiche1009.near 25 s · transaction 29.00 NEAR 28.2 min after buying · transaction +8.50 NEAR
10 lowfrog6012.near 25 s · transaction 34.00 NEAR 28.2 min after buying · transaction -7.04 NEAR
11 alola.near 35 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.20 NEAR
12 stillurial1675.near 39 s · transaction 42.00 NEAR 27.9 min after buying · transaction -2.51 NEAR
13 dryoil1584.near 42 s · transaction 37.00 NEAR 27.9 min after buying · transaction +0.28 NEAR
14 longquiche338.near 42 s · transaction 40.00 NEAR 27.9 min after buying · transaction -6.36 NEAR
15 sickuser1627.near 55 s · transaction 22.00 NEAR 27.7 min after buying · transaction -4.53 NEAR
16 realsite8942.near 55 s · transaction 18.00 NEAR 27.7 min after buying · transaction -3.23 NEAR
17 roundapp1514.near 55 s · transaction 18.00 NEAR 27.7 min after buying · transaction -3.07 NEAR
18 phbo.near 67 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 58 s after buying · transaction -0.28 NEAR
19 roughzone8076.near 70 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 27.4 min after buying · transaction -0.68 NEAR
20 pinkzest7538.near 70 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 27.4 min after buying · transaction -2.30 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of clearline.near

None known.