cpearl.nearlytrade.near
Risk score: Low 20 / 100 issued 2026-11-10 21:11 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 33 % (264 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-11T21:11 UTC with config v2r-fit-2.
| Launched | 2026-11-10 21:11:31 UTC · block 223970590 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | sAPsfWahhhys6…3w9uH |
| Creator | nearlyuser.near explorer |
| Pool | cpearl.nearlytrade.near|prl.omft.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00% |
18 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 46 | 13 of 28 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 25 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-12 16:10 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.25x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 13 of 28 · 46.4% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | <0.01% · 2 of 2 hold |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | <0.01% · 1 of 16 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | — | — | — | — | 0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 24 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| Buyers spent | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR | 0.0000 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | +0.0000 NEAR | -0.0000 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | — | — | — | — | 0% |
| Insiders' net result | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | -0.0000 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 3.87x | 3.88x | 3.88x | 3.88x | 3.88x |
| Holders | 22 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 98.8% | 100% | 100% | 100.0% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 27.4% · 16 of 16 hold | 19.7% · 7 of 16 hold | 19.3% · 4 of 16 hold |
| Other early buyers | 21.3% · 8 of 8 hold | 18.5% · 6 of 9 hold | 17.9% · 6 of 10 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 48.6% · 24 wallets | 38.2% · 25 wallets | 37.3% · 26 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 51.3% | 61.8% | 62.7% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 98.8% | 100% | 100.0% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 98.9% · 1 merged | 100% · 0 merged | 100.0% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 12.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 2 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 7.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 7.3 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 115 s after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 6.5 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 10.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 3.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 8 | stranger.user.i….near | 43 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 | 54 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 8.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 10 | dizzy.user.intear.near | 66 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 11 | toxic-jeet.user….near | 80 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 107 s after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
|
| 12 | hybrid.user.int….near | 89 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 54.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
|
| 13 | risky.user.intear.near | 91 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | vikin.near | 107 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 71 s after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 15 | flo.user.intear.near | 119 s · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | 51206134269a0d4….near | 2.2 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 60 s after buying · transaction | -0.0000 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches
|
| 17 | unlucky_gpu.use….near | 2.4 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 5.5 min after buying · transaction | +0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 18 | gooner7.near | 2.5 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 43 s after buying · transaction | -0.0000 NEAR | none found |
| 19 | 3024eac17eb7993…234cc | 3.3 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | not sold | -0.0000 NEAR | |
| 20 | d9fc0aa607fcbba…42ea2 | 4.0 min · transaction | 0.0000 NEAR | 6.5 min after buying · transaction | -0.0000 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.