dawali.nearlytrade.near
Risk score: Low 20 / 100 issued 2026-11-08 18:20 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 35 % (356 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 93 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-09T18:20 UTC with config v1-fit-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-08 18:20:10 UTC · block 223653129 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | FHVtNhMWM1Pzr…hDanw |
| Creator | half-blood.near explorer |
| Pool | dawali.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 20.00 NEAR |
| Tax options | buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00% |
23 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built
| Buyers in profit | 0 | 0 of 9 outside buyers |
|---|---|---|
| Buy pressure | 0 | buys 0.00 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min |
| Price vs peak | 93 | the last price against the highest price since the launch |
| Activity | 0 | 0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20) |
| Last trade | 2026-11-12 16:12 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.94x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.93x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 0 of 9 · 0% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | <0.01% · 2 of 2 hold |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | <0.01% · 1 of 7 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 669.5 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Buyers spent | 10.50 NEAR | 10.50 NEAR | 10.50 NEAR | 10.60 NEAR | 11.10 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | -0.56 NEAR | -0.61 NEAR | -0.61 NEAR | -0.61 NEAR | -0.66 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100.0% |
| Insiders' net result | -0.30 NEAR | -0.41 NEAR | -0.41 NEAR | -0.03 NEAR | -1.15 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.02x |
| Holders | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 1.9% · holds | 1.9% · holds | 1.9% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.2% · 4 of 7 hold | <0.01% · 1 of 7 hold | <0.01% · 1 of 7 hold |
| Other early buyers | — | — | <0.01% · 1 of 1 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 0.2% · 7 wallets | 0% · 7 wallets | 0% · 8 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 97.9% | 98.1% | 98.1% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.06 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | wrapz-z.near independent_sniper | 3 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 60 s after buying · transaction | -0.29 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet | 3 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.04 NEAR |
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | marcisback.tg | 41.9 min · transaction | 0.10 NEAR | not sold | -0.0020 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
None known.