DOLJABI nearly.trade

doljabi.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 40.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 4000).
Evidence: launch doljabi.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (787 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -8.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 76% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-26 08:16:59 UTC · block 221662059 · history: launch only
Transaction	2RZzzhbsLf386…jtPw9
Creator	first_birthday_gift.near explorer
Pool	doljabi.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 40.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-26 18:51 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	18	19	22	22	22
Buyers spent	200.90 NEAR	201.40 NEAR	214.38 NEAR	214.38 NEAR	214.38 NEAR
Buyers net result	+5.76 NEAR	-1.64 NEAR	+1.14 NEAR	-5.59 NEAR	-8.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.29x	1.29x	1.29x	1.29x	1.29x
Holders	12	10	12	7	3
Top 10 holders' share	98.2%	100%	98.5%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	6.4% · 9 of 12 hold	6.2% · 8 of 12 hold	4.1% · 4 of 12 hold
Other early buyers	2.5% · 4 of 6 hold	0.4% · 3 of 7 hold	<0.01% · 4 of 10 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	8.9% · 18 wallets	6.5% · 19 wallets	4.1% · 22 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	91.0%	93.5%	95.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	98.2%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 2 merged	100% · 2 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	15.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.10 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.3 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
2	tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	31.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.11 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.3 s of alola.near · 94 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
3	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	3.00 NEAR	12.7 min after buying · transaction	+0.30 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.3 s of alola.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
4	976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8	4 s · transaction	22.44 NEAR	not sold	+0.64 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches pair bought within 1.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 119 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.5 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 101 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
5	30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92	10 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.0092 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 114 of those launches pair bought within 5.5 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 101 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 54 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6	5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc	14 s · transaction	1.20 NEAR	not sold	-0.0048 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 69 of those launches pair bought within 10.7 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.7 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 46 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
7	fastest.user.in….near	18 s · transaction	19.80 NEAR	31.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.18 NEAR	pair bought within 15.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.3 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
8	teeflux.user.in….near	18 s · transaction	17.82 NEAR	94 s after buying · transaction	+1.20 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches pair bought within 7.9 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
9	3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804	21 s · transaction	11.19 NEAR	86 s after buying · transaction	+0.76 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 22 of those launches pair bought within 5.7 s of alola.near · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10	magnetic_overlo….near	22 s · transaction	19.80 NEAR	107 s after buying · transaction	+0.69 NEAR	none found
11	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	25 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.30 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 1.0 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
12	alola.near	26 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.10 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 23.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
13	sneaky_continen….near	27 s · transaction	7.92 NEAR	64 s after buying · transaction	-0.05 NEAR	none found
14	decep.near	32 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	-3.59 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 31 of those launches pair bought within 29.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.7 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
15	f3437812894bd7b…85535	116 s · transaction	33.26 NEAR	108 s after buying · transaction	-2.47 NEAR	none found
16	nuuwally.near	2.2 min · transaction	12.00 NEAR	5.4 min after buying · transaction	-1.36 NEAR	none found
17	metallic_parasi….near	3.3 min · transaction	3.46 NEAR	27.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.44 NEAR	none found
18	magaji11.near	4.3 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	42.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.13 NEAR	none found
19	chilly_virususe….near	5.2 min · transaction	0.50 NEAR	43.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.07 NEAR	none found
20	sticky_virus5.u….near	16.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	26.5 min after buying · transaction	-0.79 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of first_birthday_gift.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-26 21:13 UTC	nearly.trade	geminear.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-30 10:30 UTC	nearly.trade	trolll.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only