EGGENT nearly.trade

eggent.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 3.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 50.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 300, creator_bps 5000).
Evidence: launch eggent.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 15 % (1068 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 58 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 2; they sold 745.0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: podx.near (recipient).
Passed the threshold at 2026-09-29 18:57:11 UTC, 266.4 min after the launch: 9q9peBaeFic67…WJVKK.
Received tokens from the dev: podx.near.
Outside buyers' net result: -33.24 NEAR · insiders' net result: +2.51 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 58% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-09-29 14:30:45 UTC · block 217789131 · history: launch only
Transaction	H4oycMgpWDbG8…1JNEk
Creator	eggent.near explorer
Pool	eggent.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-09-29 19:00 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	17	21	21	21	24
Buyers spent	377.57 NEAR	515.24 NEAR	515.24 NEAR	515.24 NEAR	565.74 NEAR
Buyers net result	+28.12 NEAR	-8.25 NEAR	-11.68 NEAR	-24.70 NEAR	-33.24 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	2
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	0%	0%	0%	745.0%
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	+0.0072 NEAR	-0.0038 NEAR	-0.05 NEAR	+2.51 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.78x	1.78x	1.78x	1.78x	1.78x
Holders	10	8	7	8	6
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0.0% · holds	0.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	12.7% · 7 of 14 hold	0.7% · 1 of 14 hold	0.7% · 1 of 14 hold
Other early buyers	2.8% · 2 of 3 hold	11.1% · 5 of 7 hold	5.9% · 3 of 7 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	15.5% · 17 wallets	11.7% · 21 wallets	6.6% · 21 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	84.5%	88.2%	93.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	neardotneardot.near	19 s · transaction	29.76 NEAR	3.8 min after buying · transaction	+17.08 NEAR	none found
2	0dcab0ca2c0d3dd…cb7ed	29 s · transaction	0.99 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.58 NEAR	pair bought within 46.6 s of supremegay.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
3	syndi95.near	47 s · transaction	34.72 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+2.26 NEAR	pair bought within 28.3 s of supremegay.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.6 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.4 s of oliut100.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
4	oliut100.near	57 s · transaction	19.84 NEAR	5.5 min after buying · transaction	-2.67 NEAR	pair bought within 38.2 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.4 s of syndi95.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	supremegay.near	76 s · transaction	59.52 NEAR	4.5 min after buying · transaction	+1.61 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 49 of those launches pair bought within 28.3 s of syndi95.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 19.3 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
6	8033c5e8d587f59…817b7	95 s · transaction	1.98 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.65 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 48 of those launches pair bought within 19.3 s of supremegay.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 47.6 s of syndi95.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.2 s of oliut100.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
7	5b9d43abb215de7…4c173	97 s · transaction	40.00 NEAR	2.7 min after buying · transaction	+4.78 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 34 of those launches pair bought within 45.8 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.9 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of supremegay.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
8	iagipero.near	2.4 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	not sold	-2.05 NEAR	pair bought within 31.5 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
9	luckyfrog8326.near	2.4 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	2.4 min after buying · transaction	-3.04 NEAR	pair bought within 31.5 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.4 s of lorenzo18.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.9 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
10	0632956aa0a2237…76e6e	2.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	93 s after buying · transaction	+0.63 NEAR	pair bought within 12.3 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	lorenzo18.near	2.5 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	3.7 min after buying · transaction	-6.20 NEAR	pair bought within 10.4 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.6 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.1 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
12	wolfgangamadeus.near	2.7 min · transaction	4.96 NEAR	4.6 min after buying · transaction	-1.62 NEAR	pair bought within 19.2 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.7 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.9 s of lorenzo18.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
13	e8a162641a55288…58210	2.8 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	73 s after buying · transaction	+0.58 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 9.5 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.9 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.6 s of lorenzo18.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
14	579b7294974b54d…30203	2.9 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	99 s after buying · transaction	-1.26 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches pair bought within 9.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.5 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.5 s of iagipero.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
15	69654710bf67f18…58c79	3.5 min · transaction	83.00 NEAR	2.9 min after buying · transaction	-22.53 NEAR	none found
16	366d7bbb8979583…b31f0	3.5 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	2.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.41 NEAR	none found
17	farcastmage.near	3.7 min · transaction	24.80 NEAR	2.5 min after buying · transaction	-9.70 NEAR	pair bought within 47.4 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.9 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	fe50abaae192837…2176d	6.6 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	24.6 min after buying · transaction	+1.59 NEAR	none found
19	00fd9453311f74a…3d49b	6.6 min · transaction	4.75 NEAR	not sold	-0.17 NEAR	none found
20	01340eaadfc3648…b7491	7.6 min · transaction	9.92 NEAR	9.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.58 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of eggent.near

None known.